Civil War Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[KangConquers]

For the record, it took IM3 23 days to hit $1 B. It should only take Civil War 20-21, making all of these $1.1 B predictions sort of low-balls. This movie will at least match IM3's $1.2 B, and should fall closer to $1.3.

 

[JB33]

For the record, it took IM3 23 days to hit $1 B. It should only take Civil War 20-21, making all of these $1.1 B predictions sort of low-balls. This movie will at least match IM3's $1.2 B, and should fall closer to $1.3.

It's already on its 21st day of release. I have it reaching $1B on Friday, its 24th day of release.

 

[InCali]

Well, at least Marvel and DC can end with a tie and no one on top for most weeks for a comic book brand movie studio.

Well don't forget Ouija. It was the #1 movie for 2 weeks also....though not a CB movie, I heard it was REALLY good. Can't wait for the sequel so I don't see it either.....

CA:CW=BvS=Ouija

 

[Knight_SV]

Going to watch couple times again this week before being pulled of theater next week

 

[Ozbridge]

Well, at least Marvel and DC can end with a tie and no one on top for most weeks for a comic book brand movie studio.

Well Deadpool was No 1 at 3 weekends (Feb 12 - 28) and thus stayed at No 1 longer than BvS and (very likely) CW to. It doesn't mean Deadpool make more than CW though.

Going to watch couple times again this week before being pulled of theater next week

Whaaat? It'll be pulled off your theater next week? SW:TFA was pulled off mine about 2 weeks ago, and they're still showing Deadpool and The Revenant (and I live in a pretty small city).

 

[gerrym51]

For the record, it took IM3 23 days to hit $1 B. It should only take Civil War 20-21, making all of these $1.1 B predictions sort of low-balls. This movie will at least match IM3's $1.2 B, and should fall closer to $1.3.

to make what you say-after it hits one billion this weekend it is about played out overseas

where is it going to get 300 million?

 

[Dark Raven]

I hope this catches up with and surpasses Zootopia soon.

It would be nice to get into the top 10 highest grossing films of all time. Don't know if it will though.

 

[Knight_SV]

Well Deadpool was No 1 at 3 weekends (Feb 12 - 28) and thus stayed at No 1 longer than BvS and (very likely) CW to. It doesn't mean Deadpool make more than CW though.



Whaaat? It'll be pulled off your theater next week? SW:TFA was pulled off mine about 2 weeks ago, and they're still showing Deadpool and The Revenant (and I live in a pretty small city).

it's been 4 weeks premiered in my country now

 

[KangConquers]

to make what you say-after it hits one billion this weekend it is about played out overseas

where is it going to get 300 million?

Iron Man 3 was at $948 M ww at the same point that Cap was at $940 M. Iron Man had Star Trek come out at this point in it's run, and that catered to much of the same demographic. Cap has another week until it's legs get chopped off by X-Men. Maybe $300 M is ambitious, but I'm pretty confident Civil War will surpass Iron Man 3's ww total.

 

[Kanon]

BoxOffice @BoxOffice

CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR earned est. $5.9M on Tuesday and has grossed est. $306.6M to date domestically #CaptainAmerica #CivilWar

https://***********/BoxOffice/status/732959702926008323

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$665.3 million OS. WW now $971.9 million.

 

[Iceman]

I think somewhere between $1.2B and $1.3B is looking like where it'll end up.

 

[KangConquers]

I think somewhere between $1.2B and $1.3B is looking like where it'll end up.

Don't let gerrym51 hear you say that. This film's stopping at 1.05 B.

 

[Kanon]

It has a more than good shot of reaching 350M by sunday (I'll say a lock unless a massive tragedic drop), Getting a sweet spot in the fastest to 350M chart, above Iron Man 3, close to AoU (or at least 9th place right above Iron Man 3)

1-Star Wars: The Force Awakens (6 days to $363,460,329)
2-Jurassic World (9 days to $364,438,525)
3-Marvel's The Avengers (10 days to $373,071,647)
4-The Dark Knight (14 days to $351,086,846)
5-Avengers: Age of Ultron (16 days to $360,394,291)
6-Captain America: Civil War (17 days to proyected $355)
7-The Dark Knight Rises (17 days to $353,935,094)
8-Avatar (17 days to $352,114,898)
9-Iron Man 3 (22 days to $353,228,940)
10-The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (23 days to $353,684,449)

 

[Iceman]

Don't let gerrym51 hear you say that. This film's stopping at 1.05 B.

Are they pulling it at that point? t:

 

[Dark Raven]

Steve was pulling Sharon in this film.

 

[KangConquers]

Are they pulling it at that point? t:

Apparently it's "Dead in the water" overseas, even though it just did $84 M, and will do a healthy $40 M this weekend.

 

[gerrym51]

Don't let gerrym51 hear you say that. This film's stopping at 1.05 B.

1.1 Billion lol

 

[KangConquers]

1.1 Billion lol

I know I'm giving you ****. I think it's probably going to wind up right around IM3 at this point. It's under performing some major foreign territories, but China and the U.S. will split the difference.

 

[gerrym51]

I know I'm giving you ****. I think it's probably going to wind up right around IM3 at this point. It's under performing some major foreign territories, but China and the U.S. will split the difference.

i actually get most of my opinions from the boxofficetheory site.

my overseas opinions come from them. they are far more knowledgeable than me.

you do realize CW can only stay in china 30 days- most watchers at boxofficetheory do not think it will reach 200 mil in china

 

[JB33]

A bit of a higher number than I expected for Tuesday. Good stuff! Looks like my prediction of it being around $993M globally by Friday is on track.

 

[kedrell]

Odd that it should spike up so high on Tuesday. I wonder what the cause of it is. I bet it has an unusually steep drop today which basically offsets it though. Still not seeing any signs of it failing to track just ahead of IM3 so a finish of $430m give or take $10m is pretty much assured. And that is a fine result for this movie.

 

[kedrell]

you do realize CW can only stay in china 30 days- most watchers at boxofficetheory do not think it will reach 200 mil in china

I use them too and yes, that was my guess as well but since IM3 only made $121m there you gotta chalk that up as an advantage in CW's favor. It's going to handily beat IM3 in the biggest markets and thus should finish WW just ahead of it with a likely $1.25b WW finish. I don't see where $1.1b WW is coming from. It would need to be held to a mere $100m left WW after this week's finish on Thursday. That's just too low, IMO.

 

[gerrym51]

Odd that it should spike up so high on Tuesday. I wonder what the cause of it is. I bet it has an unusually steep drop today which basically offsets it though. Still not seeing any signs of it failing to track just ahead of IM3 so a finish of $430m give or take $10m is pretty much assured. And that is a fine result for this movie.

tuesdays are discount days in Canada. Most movies spike on tuesdays because of it.

 

[JB33]

tuesdays are discount days in Canada. Most movies spike on tuesdays because of it.

Yes, but not quite a full $1.2M. It still seems like a pretty high spike.

Ah well, I'm not complaining!