Days of Future Past 'Days Of Future Past' BOX-OFFICE worldwide prediction - Part 3

[HIA]

that sounds more possible

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

It's not just more plausible, that is the reason China kicks American movies out so early.

 

[mmaeric]

Didn't I read that cap 2 had 6 weeks? Why wouldn't xmen get 6?

 

[MarvelU]

Didn't I read that cap 2 had 6 weeks? Why wouldn't xmen get 6?

Summer is more crowded with Blockbusters, but I don't know.

 

[Liam_H]

Disney was probably able to negotiate a longer window. The window is usually 4 weeks but some films are able last longer. I believe IM3 got longer than 4 weeks too.

 

[Tymminator]

I believe the reason why China limits how long foreign films run is to protect their domestic film industry.

That's exactly what I heard the reason was.

 

[TalismanRing]

Disney was probably able to negotiate a longer window. The window is usually 4 weeks but some films are able last longer. I believe IM3 got longer than 4 weeks too.

CA2 got 4 weeks but opened on a holiday weekend which compensated a bit for traditionally slower spring business.

IM3 got 5 weeks and a premiere in The Imperial City because it was considered a joint China production because of the distribution deal.

DOFP got probably the best spot of the summer, nice separation between ASM2 and EoT, including a few big holidays because of the presence of Fan Bing Bing.

Edge of Tomorrow got screwed - only one week before Godzilla.

 

[SAUspartan]

So DOFP is only getting 4 weeks in total?

 

[Delphin]

So DOFP is only getting 4 weeks in total?

Yes.

 

[Mysteryman]

The US doesn't control its releases like that or does it ?

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

The US doesn't control its releases like that or does it ?

No. We have protectionist policies for steel, farming, and other industries.

 

[Blackout]

Highest grossing U.S movies in China:

1. Avatar (~$224 million)
2. Transformers: Dark of the Moon (~$179 million)
3. Titanic 3D (~$157 million)
4. Iron Man 3 (~$121 million)
5. Captain America 2: The Winter Soldier (~$116 million)
6. X-Men: Days of Future Past (~$112 million)
7. Pacific Rim (~$112 million)
8. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (~$104 million)
9. Kungfu Panda 2 (~$99 million)
10. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (~$94 million)
11. Marvel's The Avengers (~$93 million)
12. Life of Pi (~$92 million)
13. Men in Black 3 (~$84 million)
14. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (~$77 million)
15. Inception (~$77 million)

gogogo DOFP

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

I find it interesting that DoFP surpassed TASM2's gross in China before it did the United States, especially given how on the TASM2 people were saying Spider-Man falling behind the other Marvel heroes was a uniquely American phenomenon.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

Looking at that table one has to wonder what AoU will bank.

 

[Iceman]

I find it interesting that DoFP surpassed TASM2's gross in China before it did the United States, especially given how on the TASM2 people were saying Spider-Man falling behind the other Marvel heroes was a uniquely American phenomenon.

I think it's also that X-Men featured Fan Bing Bing who's huge in China.

 

[Iceman]

Looking at that table one has to wonder what AoU will bank.

Should be massive.

Edit: incorrect comment

 

[Blackout]

TASM2 was released on a Sunday too, I think that affected its total a little bit.

 

[HIA]

Highest grossing U.S movies in China:

1. Avatar (~$224 million)
2. Transformers: Dark of the Moon (~$179 million)
3. Titanic 3D (~$157 million)
4. Iron Man 3 (~$121 million)
5. Captain America 2: The Winter Soldier (~$116 million)
6. X-Men: Days of Future Past (~$112 million)
7. Pacific Rim (~$112 million)
8. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (~$104 million)
9. Kungfu Panda 2 (~$99 million)
10. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (~$94 million)
11. Marvel's The Avengers (~$93 million)
12. Life of Pi (~$92 million)
13. Men in Black 3 (~$84 million)
14. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (~$77 million)
15. Inception (~$77 million)

gogogo DOFP

so just 4m to surpass Cap2??
Please China let Dofp to stay on the theatres just two more weeks!! t:

 

[Farren]

I find it interesting that DoFP surpassed TASM2's gross in China before it did the United States, especially given how on the TASM2 people were saying Spider-Man falling behind the other Marvel heroes was a uniquely American phenomenon.

Yeah it's interesting. Looking through Spidey's foreign numbers, a lot of them seem similar to how it performed domestically: very front loaded. It still did well internationally because it raked in a lot on it's opening, and because there are certain countries that just seem to love it (looking at you, Japan). It seems like Spidey can always find money somewhere or other. But the numbers aren't as good as they could have been if it had the "legs" of something like Cap2.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Through thursday DOFP has made 196 Million Domesticly but it will fall out of top 5 today.

This weekend it will pass Amazing SPider-man 2 Domesticly.

 

[HIA]

Yeah it's interesting. Looking through Spidey's foreign numbers, a lot of them seem similar to how it performed domestically: very front loaded. It still did well internationally because it raked in a lot on it's opening, and because there are certain countries that just seem to love it (looking at you, Japan). It seems like Spidey can always find money somewhere or other. But the numbers aren't as good as they could have been if it had the "legs" of something like Cap2.

Cap2 is more an anomaly. Thor movies, Cap1, FC and more havent reached the same success as Cap2 in USA, so its just a pattern.

 

[Farren]

Cap2 is more an anomaly. Thor movies, Cap1, FC and more havent reached the same success as Cap2 in USA, so its just a pattern.

Oh yeah don't get me wrong, Cap 2 had unusually good legs, but I still think Spidey appears to have been more front-loaded than a lot of those other movies too. But admittedly that's just from quickly eying the foreign stats -- I don't know how the actual math breaks down.

EDIT: Actually going back and looking more carefully a lot of those others seem to have been similarly front-loaded. But I guess with Cap2, it shows that it's possible to do better.

 

[Blackout]

Thursday actual: $1,389,681 (-18.6%) Looks like most of the male audience films, which excludes Maleficent and FIOS, took a big hit on Thursday. Could be due to NBA, and the night showings of 22 Jump Street and HTTYD2.

Domestic total: $196,440,161.

Should pass TASM2 tomorrow.

 

[JKKS085]

Oh yeah don't get me wrong, Cap 2 had unusually good legs, but I still think Spidey appears to have been more front-loaded than a lot of those other movies too. But admittedly that's just from quickly eying the foreign stats -- I don't know how the actual math breaks down.

EDIT: Actually going back and looking more carefully a lot of those others seem to have been similarly front-loaded. But I guess with Cap2, it shows that it's possible to do better.

Actually Captain America the First Avenger and Captain America The Winter Soldier will both have a similar-ish 2.7 multiplier. Both films had pretty decent legs.

A bit off-topic but the average multiplier for MCU films is 2.67. The less front-loaded film being Iron Man (3.23) and the most front-loaded Iron Man 3 (2.35).

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Yep it's going to pass 200mil this weekend but I still think it's in for another big drop. Two big films are being released this weekend and they could do 120mil combined.