Age of Ultron Early Avengers 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[8ulk]

7,1. mil for the weekend and 438,9 total are the early numbers i see per pro.boxoffice.com

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The weekend estimate in North America is 6.2mil. I don't know where you are getting that 7.1mil number from.

 

[take3]

Adam B. Vary ‏@adambvary https://***********/adambvary/status/607587005304741888
#AvengersAgeOfUltron just passed the final #HarryPotter film to become the 5th highest grossing film ever globally.

Adam B. Vary ‏@adambvary https://***********/adambvary/status/607588092392783872
With $910M, #AvengersAgeOfUltron is Marvel Studios' top grossing film ever internationally, including #TheAvengers.

 

[JB33]

The weekend estimate in North America is 6.2mil. I don't know where you are getting that 7.1mil number from.

That was the estimate that Boxoffice.com originally listed. It was their own prediction. Now they have replaced those with the studio estimates.

 

[Wildcard]

I wouldn't bother. Like I said earlier, some people don't even want to try to understand what others are trying to say.

I fully understand so my comprehension level isn't a factor here. I get it, 3 years of inflation plus a slightly higher budget than the first. Yeah, I get it, I know how the movie business works, I've made it a point to.

What I'M saying is that business wise I'm sure Marvel didn't ever view it as a guarantee that AoU would surpass the first & that it's in no way a failure because it hasn't. I know that a bigger budget means you expect bigger numbers, obvious. But because AoU hasn't gone bigger than the first many keep talking as if it's a box office flop, which it's not.

That's the part some here aren't trying to understand.

Fact of the matter is, AoU was a profit. And in business, if you profit, you win, even if you need to re-think or alter some of your strategy.

 

[PunyGod]

...

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I have seen no serious post even insinuating that AOU is a flop. I have seen people call films that made money flops before (those people are ignorant) but in this case I have seen no serious post calling Age of Ultron a flop. Believe me, if I saw "many people" seriously saying such a thing I would have ranted about it.

 

[Wildcard]

The discussion at many intervals is surely indicative of that.

 

[8ulk]

The weekend estimate in North America is 6.2mil. I don't know where you are getting that 7.1mil number from.

i think i made it pretty clear. per proboxoffice.com early noumbers


btw anyone can guss if AoU will hit the 1 bil mark OS. so far we have 910 mil and Japan has yet to open and will probably decide if it will hit that milestone.

 

[Dark Raven]

So F&F7 is close on Avengers' heels. Will that film surpass the original Avengers so that Marvel end up with the 4th and 5th highest grossing movies of all time? How far behind is F&F7 at the moment?

Is 5th highest grossing movie where AOU is likely to settle? I don't really see it surpassing F&F7 nor the Avengers.

 

[warriorking]

So F&F7 is close on Avengers' heels. Will that film surpass the original Avengers so that Marvel end up with the 4th and 5th highest grossing movies of all time? How far behind is F&F7 at the moment?

Is 5th highest grossing movie where AOU is likely to settle? I don't really see it surpassing F&F7 nor the Avengers.

Still needs to make another 8 Million to top Avengers...
Don't see that happening ...Its weekend totals are very low....
Its being yanked from theatres on a daily basis.....
I look for AOU to limp to another 10 Million before it goes away here in the states..
Overseas with Japan(In July) and the rest of the world we could see another 100 Million...

 

[ironman_rick]

So F&F7 is close on Avengers' heels. Will that film surpass the original Avengers so that Marvel end up with the 4th and 5th highest grossing movies of all time? How far behind is F&F7 at the moment?

Is 5th highest grossing movie where AOU is likely to settle? I don't really see it surpassing F&F7 nor the Avengers.

FF7 is gonna surpass the Avengers in the next 2 weeks. Its still rolling in the money O/S (even though the domestic numbers are almost dead).

If it doesn't surpass the Avengers in the next 2 weeks... it will come very close and will eventually become the 3rd biggest movie of all time once it hits the dollar cinemas....

Fair play to universal. They choose the right date and released the movie almost everywhere at the same time. Marvel could learn a thing or 2 for the next batch of movies.

 

[ironman_rick]

i think i made it pretty clear. per proboxoffice.com early noumbers


btw anyone can guss if AoU will hit the 1 bil mark OS. so far we have 910 mil and Japan has yet to open and will probably decide if it will hit that milestone.

Nope, I don't think so. I think it might even gross less than $50M in japan when it finally releases there (it seems that the Japanese don't really like super-hero movies as much as animated ones like Monsters U and of course frozen).

I expect it to end at $950M to $960M.

 

[JOE]

Will it make it to 1.4B WW?

 

[ironman_rick]

Will it make it to 1.4B WW?

I guess it will end its run once it gets to $1.4B WW....

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

The discussion at many intervals is surely indicative of that.

Not true. You might just be one of those people who do not like nuanced discussions of its box office and reception. Which is fine but I suggest not reading this thread then because I'm not going to dumb down my evaluations to make you or anyone else feel better.

 

[kguillou]

Boy, its really something that we are in a day and age where people can be disappointed with a film grossing over $1.3 Billion. That is massive amounts of money.

 

[JB33]

I fully understand so my comprehension level isn't a factor here. I get it, 3 years of inflation plus a slightly higher budget than the first. Yeah, I get it, I know how the movie business works, I've made it a point to.

What I'M saying is that business wise I'm sure Marvel didn't ever view it as a guarantee that AoU would surpass the first & that it's in no way a failure because it hasn't. I know that a bigger budget means you expect bigger numbers, obvious. But because AoU hasn't gone bigger than the first many keep talking as if it's a box office flop, which it's not.

That's the part some here aren't trying to understand.

Fact of the matter is, AoU was a profit. And in business, if you profit, you win, even if you need to re-think or alter some of your strategy.

I'll meet you halfway and agree with you that business wise, Marvel isn't fretting about AoU's box office performance at all, and in fact they're probably pretty happy about it. If you get away from the business side, however, I'm pretty certain that several individuals at Marvel, as well as a large contingent of the general public, were probably hoping that AoU would be the classic "bigger and better" sequel, per se, and that it would surpass the total box office of The Avengers. I think that's a very reasonable and normal hope or wish when it comes to movies. You're always hoping the sequel will top its predecessor in every way, including box office.

This is where the so-called "disappointment" stems from. It's not a scathing indictment of the movie, it's simply a "Damn, if there were a movie that could top The Avengers, I figured it would have been Avengers: Age of Ultron" sentiment.

 

[warriorking]

Nope, I don't think so. I think it might even gross less than $50M in japan when it finally releases there (it seems that the Japanese don't really like super-hero movies as much as animated ones like Monsters U and of course frozen).

I expect it to end at $950M to $960M.

The original Avengers grossed 45 Million in Japan and AOU has made more in overseas numbers in every market it has played except the US compared to the original Avengers ..
Why would japan be any different.
Its going to make more in Japan its just a guess how much....

 

[Iceman]

I fully understand so my comprehension level isn't a factor here. I get it, 3 years of inflation plus a slightly higher budget than the first. Yeah, I get it, I know how the movie business works, I've made it a point to.

What I'M saying is that business wise I'm sure Marvel didn't ever view it as a guarantee that AoU would surpass the first & that it's in no way a failure because it hasn't. I know that a bigger budget means you expect bigger numbers, obvious. But because AoU hasn't gone bigger than the first many keep talking as if it's a box office flop, which it's not.

That's the part some here aren't trying to understand.

Fact of the matter is, AoU was a profit. And in business, if you profit, you win, even if you need to re-think or alter some of your strategy.

Em nope. If you put the money in a selection of the safest banks around the world you profit every year with very little risk. But even when interest rates are very high companies only keep a certain amount in cash.

I think you need to reread the posts here as I don't remember any posts calling AoU a flop. Disappointment is a relative term. Usain Bolt can be disappointed that he ran only 9.90 after breaking the world record the race before while running that kind of time is an impossible feat to the majority of the human race since time began (including most professional sprinters!). Flop is absolute and disappointment is relative, don't get confused between the two.

 

[Wildcard]

Not true. You might just be one of those people who do not like nuanced discussions of its box office and reception. Which is fine but I suggest not reading this thread then because I'm not going to dumb down my evaluations to make you or anyone else feel better.

Grasping at straws.

Look, no one suggested you dumb down your evaluations & it has nothing to do with emotions, your entire post is irrelevant to what we're discussing here. How do we go from talking of not talking about the movie being a failure to people's emotions, lowering the 'level' of one's discussions & the like?

On that note, I'm done discussing this (with you).

And JB, that's definitely understandable, all I was saying is they aren't kicking themselves. I do think they knew it was a possible the cards would play out this way with Ultron being the villain...everyone was expecting Thanos to be next. Now the game-plan is likely how they can make sure Thanos looks as good as possible so that the upcoming sequels will be what they hoped AoU would be.

So yeah, I can definitely meet you halfway there.

 

[rashad]

AOU has made more in overseas numbers in every market it has

That's not true of every market compared to the first.

 

[Vincanws]

I have seen no serious post even insinuating that AOU is a flop. I have seen people call films that made money flops before (those people are ignorant) but in this case I have seen no serious post calling Age of Ultron a flop. Believe me, if I saw "many people" seriously saying such a thing I would have ranted about it.

Just a fair bit of repeating that it didn't do enough / should have done more / was a disappointment type stuff, but yeah, no "AOU is a flop" I'd concede.

You could argue it was only "disappointing" in the States, where as other markets the movie is exceeding the original, so yeah, just blame America.

 

[Iceman]

Just a fair bit of repeating that it didn't do enough / should have done more / was a disappointment type stuff, but yeah, no "AOU is a flop" I'd concede.

You could argue it was only "disappointing" in the States, where as other markets the movie is exceeding the original, so yeah, just blame America.

Yes most of the disappointment is US based and the currency effects have muted the gains made in many other territories. The US is what people first focus on though usually. As you say just blame America. t:

 

[warriorking]

Domestic: $438,153,559 32.5% + Foreign: $910,200,000 67.5% = Worldwide: $1,348,353,559