The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Mysteryman]

Looks like we totally missed this guys.
Yesterday, Deadline.com reported that Battleship debuted at 7.4 million internationally,
it is on track to make an estimated 300 million before its american debut .

 

[Tony Stark]

The final part of Harry Potter could never have been in one movie, unless it was like, 5 hours long, which would be horrible.

Jackson is Jackson, if there is one criticism to aim at him, it's that he gets a little self indulgent and meanders a bit too much. Each Hobbit film will be over 2 and a half hours. I don't know about you guys, but **** sitting in a cinema for 5-6 hours non stop.

My problem was in making it two parts, they still managed to screw up the ending.

 

[Quasimod0]

Looks like we totally missed this guys.
Yesterday, Deadline.com reported that Battleship debuted at 7.4 million internationally,
it is on track to make an estimated 300 million before its american debut .

 

[Godzilla2000]

I know and I'm getting pretty impatient because of it so dear May 4th. HURRY UP DAMN YOU!

This is me right now waiting for this movie:

 

[kaijunexus]

This is me right now waiting for this movie:

This is ME waiting for this movie...

And btw, always awesome to see another rabid Godzilla fan on a non-Godzilla forum!

G-FANS UNITE!!! t:

 

[BigThor]

This is me right now waiting for this movie:

Godzilla vs Destroyah

 

[Vulklin]

Logically it should make more than 4 previous individual Marvel movies

How much more? That is the question

I am not sure, it depends on the buzz created around it from whether critics like it, plus initial reaction once its opened

If critics give it high praise and it gets off to good start it will soar past Iron Man and become biggest of the Avengers films

Will it pass Spider-man movies though? Will it reach Dark Knight?

I know for certain it is not going to touch Cameron's monster movies, but imagine if it was so successful it became no3 on all time list

 

[T"Challa]

Looks like we totally missed this guys.
Yesterday, Deadline.com reported that Battleship debuted at 7.4 million internationally,
it is on track to make an estimated 300 million before its american debut .

Thats crazy..that means it's probably going to cross the $500 mill mark. The chances of the Avengers staying at the top of the box office through 3 weeks just dropped.

 

[Shadowlord X]

Looks like we totally missed this guys.
Yesterday, Deadline.com reported that Battleship debuted at 7.4 million internationally,
it is on track to make an estimated 300 million before its american debut .

That's really good. It represents a healthy international BO, and with the 2 weeks in between it should not hinder THE AVENGERS.

 

[Godzilla2000]

This is ME waiting for this movie...

Ah yes, Godzilla's goofy victory dance from Godzilla vs. Monster Zero. I will be doing that dance after seeing Avengers, but for now I'm going into meltdown stage because it's taking so long to get to U.S. theaters.

And btw, always awesome to see another rabid Godzilla fan on a non-Godzilla forum!

G-FANS UNITE!!! t:

Yes! We need to start a Community here on the Hype for Kaiju fans!

 

[rayc1971]

i say avengers does 175 mill opening weekend and dark night rises will b the first 200 mill opening weekend film but wont outgross dark knights 530 total domstic gross

 

[cherokeesam]

Looks like we totally missed this guys.
Yesterday, Deadline.com reported that Battleship debuted at 7.4 million internationally,
it is on track to make an estimated 300 million before its american debut .

That's a misreading.
The actual Deadline quote:

My sources project the film should steam past $300M foreign box office based on stats.

That's 300 mil, total, OS. Which is still damn good, but it does not mean in any way, shape or form that it's going to rack up 300 million before its May 18 US release. If the film splits 50/50 domestic/overseas as most films these days do, look for Battleship to finish up comfortably with $600 million on the year. If the film shades more towards 60/40 OS, as early critics are predicting, then Battleship is no threat at all to Avengers. If the scale tips the other way, though....look out.

 

[flickchick85]

Yep, just as many of us suspected: Battleship will be a big hit.

It's certainly not at risk of making more than Avengers, but it could hold it back from reaching certain box office milestones.

 

[Raiden]

This is me right now waiting for this movie:

How about a bout?

t:

 

[Mysteryman]

i say avengers does 175 mill opening weekend and dark night rises will b the first 200 mill opening weekend film but wont outgross dark knights 530 total domstic gross

IF TDKR opened at $200 million ,
It most certainly would exceed TDKs domestic gross.
But NO FILM is ever going to open that big .

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

IF TDKR opened at $200 million ,
It most certainly would exceed TDKs domestic gross.
But NO FILM is ever going to open that big .

$200 million doesn't mean Rises would exceed TDK. People may not respond to it the same way they did TDK. But I do believe Rises will set the OW record.

With inflation $200 million will not be an impossibility one of these days. Rises may even do it, although I think $175 million is more likely.

 

[Iceman]

IF TDKR opened at $200 million ,
It most certainly would exceed TDKs domestic gross.
But NO FILM is ever going to open that big .

You heard of inflation mate? t:

 

[Tony Stark]

I'm not buying that Battleship is going to do well. It's getting pummeled in the reviews, pretty much everyone saying it's transformers with battle LA mixed in. The film looks like complete **** on celluloid.

How many freaking years after ID4 do they have to make the same damn film, over and over?

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Yep, just as many of us suspected: Battleship will be a big hit.

It's certainly not at risk of making more than Avengers, but it could hold it back from reaching certain box office milestones.

What frightens me is that Battleship could end being this year's Pirates, and gross a billion at the box office. The elements are certainly present. It's number one in the international market right now and it's yet to arrive stateside (where the greater potential lies for film due to the popularity of the board game).

 

[flickchick85]

What frightens me is that Battleship could end being this year's Pirates, and gross a billion at the box office. The elements are certainly present. It's number one in the international market right now and it's yet to arrive stateside (where the greater potential lies for film due to the popularity of the board game).

I suppose that's a possibility, but the Pirates movies got there because of the extremely positive reactions to the first one and its characters. With the negative WOM Battleship is getting and the non-sequel factor, I doubt it will make it that far. I think it's looking at a great first week or two, and then a lack of legs will kick in.

 

[Raiden]

I suppose that's a possibility, but the Pirates movies got there because of the extremely positive reactions to the first one and its characters. With the negative WOM Battleship is getting and the non-sequel factor, I doubt it will make it that far. I think it's looking at a great first week or two, and then a lack of legs will kick in.

I agree, I just can't see Battleship getting any traction in the long run and gross as much money as the Pirates movies did. The bad reviews and negative WOM will kick in, and it will be sunken eventually.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I suppose that's a possibility, but the Pirates movies got there because of the extremely positive reactions to the first one and its characters. With the negative WOM Battleship is getting and the non-sequel factor, I doubt it will make it that far. I think it's looking at a great first week or two, and then a lack of legs will kick in.

It's tough to call. Right now the competition is weak in the international market (until late April arrives) so Battleship could rack up 250 million easily. Stateside, I expect the film to slightly gross a bit more with 350 million (total duration). Overall, I expect Battleship to gross 600 million worldwide, at the very least.

It'll be interesting to see where Battleship stands after April 24th.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I agree, I just can't see Battleship getting any traction in the long run and gross as much money as the Pirates movies did. The bad reviews and negative WOM will kick in, and it will be sunken eventually.

Transformers ROTF had horrible reviews and word-of-mouth but it still grossed 900 million worldwide. What kept the film on top for several weeks? SFX and battling robots.

Battleship features Bay-esque SFXs and large scale action sequences. That alone could prove to a successful formula at the box office.

 

[jmc]

**** Battleship. That movie needs to die.

 

[Tony Stark]

What frightens me is that Battleship could end being this year's Pirates, and gross a billion at the box office. The elements are certainly present. It's number one in the international market right now and it's yet to arrive stateside (where the greater potential lies for film due to the popularity of the board game).

It being number one right now only represents only the lack of choice at the box office. Some people might see battleship as a typical summer popcorn movie, I see it as the depravity of Hollywood of producing anything remotely entertaining, that hasn't already been done to death.