The Dark Knight Rises The TDKR Box Office Thread III

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The bottom line is, no 3D, no $200 million OW. TA has a 30% edge per ticket over TDKR which is huge. The fact that Rises is tracking $180-$195 million is amazing. If it crosses $200 million, it'll be even more amazing because it will have done it without the gimmick that is 3D.
 
http://open.salon.com/blog/scott_me..._debut_is_even_more_impressive_than_you_think

money quote:

It earned a surprising 52% of its gross in 3D ticket sales with 8% of that being from IMAX. So yes, even without the 3D bump, it still would have set a new opening weekend record (around $175 million, although theoretical 2D IMAX showings would have had the same 'bump' as 3D IMAX showings). And yes even with inflation factored in, the film sold more tickets over its opening weekend than any other film ever (26.5 million tickets, about 3.5 million more than The Dark Knight).
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The ticket sales are an estimate as no studio releases that information. Again TDK could have very well sold more tickets than Avengers, there's no way to know, but for that matter Spider-man 3 could have had the same attendance as TDK, we just don't know.
 
Anyway we wasted enough time with that.... I only bring it up because I don't see TDK getting the needed rough 20% audience boost to break the record. If they get that, good for them, the economy could certainly use a boost right now. Either way it's going to make a **** storm of cash this weekend.

Sorry if I came off a little on edge it's just that on the BOT forums there's so much hype around this that people can't sit back and look at things logically. Avengers came out of nowhere and no one predicted it, and that could certainly happen here. But there are only so many theaters, so many screens. At some point you hit critical mass. That's why I point out there's hasn't been any real significant audience increase since Spider-man 1.

What throws a wrench into things is that Avengers had a 20 plus percentage jump over Harry Potter, which had a LOWER attendance than TDK.
 
Tony Stark said:
http://open.salon.com/blog/scott_me..._debut_is_even_more_impressive_than_you_think

money quote:



The ticket sales are an estimate as no studio releases that information. Again TDK could have very well sold more tickets than Avengers, there's no way to know, but for that matter Spider-man 3 could have had the same attendance as TDK, we just don't know.
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Its an endless debate but the source I provided comes from a news media corp, which was cited on yahoo, Toronto.com, cbm, and other major websites not blog websites.
 
Look, I am saying one more thing and then I'm done. It's about attendance figures, which are estimated. It is believed that Avengers had a higher attendance than TDK, so therefore the number is likely higher than TDK's adjusted for inflation number which is approx 175M. That's all I'm saying. The authorities on this stuff are boxofficemojo, boxofficetheory and the like because that's all they track.

End of story it doesn't matter. This film will make what it makes.
 
Tony Stark said:
Look, I am saying one more thing and then I'm done. It's about attendance figures, which are estimated. It is believed that Avengers had a higher attendance than TDK, so therefore the number is likely higher than TDK's adjusted for inflation number which is approx 175M. That's all I'm saying. The authorities on this stuff are boxofficemojo, boxofficetheory and the like because that's all they track.

End of story it doesn't matter. This film will make what it makes.
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Either way you look at it, if Rises ends up making more than $207M for the OW then a flame war will start again of Marvel vs DC. If Rises grosses under $207M, DC/Batman fans will argue over not having 3D. The only way one side wins is if TDKR grosses less than its predecessor or if TDKR out grosses TA. I'm done debating over this and am looking forward to seeing what I think will be the better film regardless of how much money it makes this weekend.
 
https://***********/giteshpandya/statuses/225715686247387138
WB tells me they expect $165-170M debut for ‪#TDKR‬. So u know it will be higher.
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So umm...my aunt and uncle are going to see TDKR in NYC this Sunday....at 6am.

I didn't even know they were booking 6am showings on a SUNDAY. :eek: I'd only heard of them for Friday!

May not be Avengers money, but will definitely be up there in terms of attendance! I don't even remember if they had 6am showings on Sunday for TDK!
 
^^^

Exactly studio's by default go with an under estimate to save face. Therefore they most likely expect a 170m+ debut.
 
That is absolutely massive for a non-Potter/Twilight film. DH2 set the pre-sale record at $32m on the Wednesday before its release. Walk-up demand for TDKR is very likely to be bigger than DH2, so this $25m pre-sale number is a great sign for it.
 
I have this hunch that this film hits around 35 to 40 million for midnight alone. Crazy right? But, just a hunch.
 
Anita18 said:
So umm...my aunt and uncle are going to see TDKR in NYC this Sunday....at 6am.

I didn't even know they were booking 6am showings on a SUNDAY. :eek: I'd only heard of them for Friday!

May not be Avengers money, but will definitely be up there in terms of attendance! I don't even remember if they had 6am showings on Sunday for TDK!
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I was on my home from a concert the Friday TDK was released, and there was a line around the block for the 2am show at the AMC on 42nd St. They were running it 24 hours for that whole weekend.
 
redfirebird2008 said:
That is absolutely massive for a non-Potter/Twilight film. DH2 set the pre-sale record at $32m on the Wednesday before its release. Walk-up demand for TDKR is very likely to be bigger than DH2, so this $25m pre-sale number is a great sign for it.
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Yeah that's a good number. I expect the midnight number will beat the 2D midnight record which I believe is held by one of the Twilight films.


LOL does anyone actually walk up to a theater anymore? I usually preorder tickets on my iPhone and get them at the ticket machine. I guess some people still live in the 20th century. ;)
 
J.Howlett said:
I have this hunch that this film hits around 35 to 40 million for midnight alone. Crazy right? But, just a hunch.
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I think thats possible


I mean look what ever it is gonna be, it will be a number that will live for a very long time, and I think there is a very real chance it will own the Friday number as well.

A freind at work has already taken the day off on Friday just to have the day to get baked and then go see the Bat early ... I think 9: am Friday

the Summer the real summer not first weekend in May is the perfect time to launch this and get that record.

It may well get around 120 mill ib Friday alonge
 
More on forecast: http://www.deadline.com/2012/07/dar...records-scalpers-brinks-trucks-than-avengers/
I can report exclusively that The Dark Knight Rises has already banked $25M in pre-sales in North America where MovieTickets.com tells me the pic scooped up 80% of all online ticket sales for Tuesday and Fandango 85%. (The figure for Avengers was 95% for that Thursday.) MovieTickets surveys found that, of the people aware of The Dark Knight Rises, 78% said they would see it opening weekend. Overall, on a scale from 1 to 5, with 1 being little or no interest and 5 being significant interest in seeing it in a movie theater, it averaged 4.8 out of 5 for intent to see. Scalpers reportedly are re-selling The Dark Knight Rises’ midnight IMAX tickets for $65-$100 apiece on both Craigslist and StubHub for NYC’s AMC Loews Lincoln Square 13. – higher even than for Avengers. Yet this may be my favorite Dark Knight Rises pre-release factoid so far: “All the major circuits have asked for more frequent pickups from their Brink’s Truck drivers to deposit the record amount of cash they are anticipating,” a Warner Bros exec told me today.
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Tony Stark said:
Yeah that's a good number. I expect the midnight number will beat the 2D midnight record which I believe is held by one of the Twilight films.


LOL does anyone actually walk up to a theater anymore? I usually preorder tickets on my iPhone and get them at the ticket machine. I guess some people still live in the 20th century. ;)
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I walked up to mine and bought a ticket.
 
Tony Stark said:
Look, I am saying one more thing and then I'm done. It's about attendance figures, which are estimated. It is believed that Avengers had a higher attendance than TDK, so therefore the number is likely higher than TDK's adjusted for inflation number which is approx 175M. That's all I'm saying. The authorities on this stuff are boxofficemojo, boxofficetheory and the like because that's all they track.

End of story it doesn't matter. This film will make what it makes.
Click to expand...

Those figures were off. Avengers admissions topped TDK's about 500k, it was quite close. TDK had about 23m flat while Avengers was roughly 23.5.

TDKR is going crush both though
 
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