Wonder Woman Box Office Speculation Thread - Part 1

Discussion in 'Wonder Woman' started by Thread Manager, May 19, 2017.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Osiris-Rex Head-Kick

    Joined:
    Jun 19, 2016
    Messages:
    2,765
    Likes Received:
    1
    Somewhere around 2 million people saw this. And that's not counting all the ones that watched it on the various websites and on YouTube and talked about it on Twitter.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLlwgBuKymo
     
  2. danoyse Snikt. Stab. Repeat.

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2004
    Messages:
    27,117
    Likes Received:
    2
    My dad was all about seeing The Mummy next weekend. Now he wants to see Wonder Woman again instead. :up:
     
  3. Jonwo Registered

    Joined:
    Jul 2, 2013
    Messages:
    1,363
    Likes Received:
    139
    The Mummy's reviews aren't appearing until Thursday, that's never a good sign. I think WW should be number 1 again
     
  4. jmc away for a while

    Joined:
    May 20, 2007
    Messages:
    35,729
    Likes Received:
    2,576
    If it's Thursday in the US the embargo lifts thats a day after it opens down here. Oh, boy....
     
  5. terry78 He will eat YOU... if you are wrong

    Joined:
    Mar 8, 2004
    Messages:
    86,814
    Likes Received:
    6,449
    I'm batman.
     
  6. Boom I got nothin'

    Joined:
    Jul 2, 2003
    Messages:
    49,172
    Likes Received:
    7,574
    The Mummy looks like straight trash. But that's what you get for hiring a writer like Alex Kurtzman to direct the first big-budget film in your shared monster universe.
     
  7. DarthSkywalker May the Force Be With You

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2004
    Messages:
    103,170
    Likes Received:
    19,334
    Nice. :woot:

    Going to take my mom to see it. She has been curious, and once my brother told her how much we liked it, she was like, "heck yes".
     
  8. mclay18 Registered

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2005
    Messages:
    13,460
    Likes Received:
    1,309
    I think the most optimistic for WW to play out is if its run is similar to Batman Begins. That's a pipe dream right now, but its appeal is four-quadrant. Women are seeing it with their girlfriends and/or their daughters. Parents are taking their kids. Single men are seeing this, in addition to college students and teenagers. Even a fair amount of baby boomers too.

    I honestly think with its appeal to women, the legs will be stronger. Yeah, family fare like Cars 3 and Despicable Me 3 will take away some business but I can see a strong $300M domestic haul in line for WW, if not more. A 4x multiplier would be crazy.
     
  9. Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

    Joined:
    May 6, 2002
    Messages:
    11,600
    Likes Received:
    366
    3X is going to be difficult, but not impossible. The big problem is what Guardians experienced this week where it had a 52% drop because it not only lost screens but pretty much lost nearly all of it's 3D showings. This is going to be a huge problem for WW, when Cars, DM3 and Transformers 5, and Spider-man come out.

    If this came out in August it would be an easy 3X multiplier. Right now I'm playing on the safe side of 2.5 - 2.7. They are really going to have to push to keep this on as many screens as possible. It really would help to have a 55% drop or better next week, if this is a typical 58-60 drop, I don't see how it will get to 300.
     
  10. flickchick85 Admin of Might

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2007
    Messages:
    43,185
    Likes Received:
    16,875
    My current prediction: $280m domestic + $440m Intl. = $720m WW.
     
  11. dhandler01 Half breed!

    Joined:
    May 31, 2014
    Messages:
    6,570
    Likes Received:
    2,082
    And then some trolls will make up reasons the movie was a failure and lost money ;)
     
  12. DarthSkywalker May the Force Be With You

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2004
    Messages:
    103,170
    Likes Received:
    19,334
    Good thing WW didn't cost well over 400m to produce and advertise. :cwink:
     
  13. Micromind New World New Rules

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2009
    Messages:
    24,769
    Likes Received:
    7,196
    Will WW earn more than Lucy (2014) ?

    Lucy did exceptionally well in Overseas market for a R-rated movie. Given the competition for WW, earning 335 mil overseas seems a tough task. (Cars, Despicable Me 2, Transformers coming soon.)

    Lucy

    Domestic: $126 mil ( 27.3% )

    Foreign: $336 mil ( 72.7%)
    ---------------------------------------
    Worldwide: $463 mil (approx.)
     
  14. Raiden Wakanda Forever

    Joined:
    Apr 25, 2002
    Messages:
    30,005
    Likes Received:
    497
    Maybe Universal will ignore the Mummy in their continuity like they did for that Dracula movie that starred Luke Evans if it doesn't do well.
     
  15. flickchick85 Admin of Might

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2007
    Messages:
    43,185
    Likes Received:
    16,875
    Yes I thought that part was implied, lol.
     
  16. Wildcard Cataclysmic Titan

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2014
    Messages:
    7,804
    Likes Received:
    25
    I think WW will go past $300 million domestically, even if it only slightly crosses that threshold. If SS could do it while being a p.o.s. movie, WW can while being a great one.

    I also strongly suspect it'll retain the number one spot. I mean, do general audiences really care about The Mummy? Trailer barely got a reaction from the audience I saw WW with.
     
  17. Micromind New World New Rules

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2009
    Messages:
    24,769
    Likes Received:
    7,196
    You cannot view things without putting them in context, WW faces more competition in June month from Mummy, Cars 3, Transformers 5, Despicable Me 3, which would take away movie screens.
     
  18. Juan1193 Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2012
    Messages:
    2,216
    Likes Received:
    425
    Didn't Man Of Steel, a divisive film do 291 million in June 2013 with much stronger competition? I can see Wonder Woman making it to 300 million. I mean The Mummy is no WWZ and Cars 3 is no Monster's University!

    Despicable Me 3 and Transformers are tougher competition but they come out 3-4 weeks after WW and the latter skews more male. I guess we'll have to wait and see.

    EDIT: Low Ball vs High Ball
    285 DOM; 365 INT = 650 WW
    305 DOM; 410 INT = 715 WW
     
    #968 Juan1193, Jun 6, 2017
    Last edited: Jun 6, 2017
  19. SomeOldGuy Registered

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2014
    Messages:
    3,549
    Likes Received:
    1,497
    There's some talk of a $12 million-ish Monday from the BOT board insiders. That would be a terrific start to the first week if it pans out. We'll see.
     
  20. dhandler01 Half breed!

    Joined:
    May 31, 2014
    Messages:
    6,570
    Likes Received:
    2,082
    I have never been one to leave things unsaid :)
     
  21. Dark Raven The Gal from Themyscira

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2010
    Messages:
    55,377
    Likes Received:
    4,549
    Didn't like the movie "Lucy." And can't seem to remember the ending of it. I must've blacked it out. :o
     
  22. Erzengel |-o-| (-o-) |-o-|

    Joined:
    Sep 28, 2004
    Messages:
    73,516
    Likes Received:
    2,287
    The last Cars ($191M) and Transformers ($245) didn't really do gangbusters. The latter obviously heavily depended on foreign markets. It obviously depends on the reception.

    Despicable Me 2 did really well however, you are talking a full 4 weeks later for DM3 after WW. GOTG2 and WW were separated by the same amount, but you wouldn't consider GOTG2 as direct competition to WW.
     
  23. Zero_Effect Registered

    Joined:
    Mar 23, 2016
    Messages:
    1,730
    Likes Received:
    6
    Exhibitor Relations‏ @ERCboxoffice
    Insert battle cry here: WONDER WOMAN tallied up $11.7M on Monday.
     
  24. UncleSam1776 Registered

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2016
    Messages:
    592
    Likes Received:
    183
    They were right. It made $11.7M
     
  25. SomeOldGuy Registered

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2014
    Messages:
    3,549
    Likes Received:
    1,497
    Domestically I expect Transformers to perform like Pirates (unless its way better than it looks in the trailers, which seems unlikely). It's fan base will show up OW and give it a nice number, then it will fall off a cliff. Not sure how much Cars and DM3 will really conflict with the WW audience.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
monitoring_string = "afb8e5d7348ab9e99f73cba908f10802"