Civil War Captain America 3: Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 2

[SomeOldGuy]

Is a billion a lock?

Yes

 

[Stark Bauer]

I already bought tickets for my second IMAX showing. I'm most looking forward to Spider Man and Black Panther

 

[kedrell]

It's still Star Wars. An exception all on it's own.

Tell that to the Clone Wars movie.

 

[kedrell]

Just $23k shy of $9m on Wednesday. A bit steeper than I was expecting but 1 day does not a trend indicate. Just a readjustment probably. I was expecting at least $600k more if not a cool $1m more. But I can still see this doing the same as AoU's 1st Thursday when today's numbers come in tomorrow. Probably an $8.6m Thursday, a 4.2% drop. Still a higher drop than Thor's 3.9% drop on the same Thursday in it's run. Should be around $223.75m for the 1st week total DOM.

As long as it stays at or above $80m this weekend then $500m is still possible.

 

[TheVileOne]

Tell that to the Clone Wars movie.

Yup, Spider-Man was the first time Star Wars lost to another movie the same year it was released.

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Just $23k shy of $9m on Wednesday. A bit steeper than I was expecting but 1 day does not a trend indicate. Just a readjustment probably. I was expecting at least $600k more if not a cool $1m more. But I can still see this doing the same as AoU's 1st Thursday when today's numbers come in tomorrow. Probably an $8.6m Thursday, a 4.2% drop. Still a higher drop than Thor's 3.9% drop on the same Thursday in it's run. Should be around $223.75m for the 1st week total DOM.

As long as it stays at or above $80m this weekend then $500m is still possible.

Agreed.

 

[kedrell]

It should be between $305 and $310m DOM after the weekend.

 

[johnboy3434]

Yup, Spider-Man was the first time Star Wars lost to another movie the same year it was released.

Actually, I think he was talking about the 2008 Clone Wars movie. It was basically the precursor to Disney's spin-off enterprise.

 

[Erzengel]

No he's referring to Spider-Man vs. Attack of the Clones.

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

Ahhhh 2002. I remember the Spider-Man vs. Star Wars vs. LOTR debates. It was more of Spider-Man vs. Star Wars because I think they were both coming out in the same month. Fans argued for months on forums about which movie would be better. More critical acclaim & bigger box office.
Good times.....good times.

 

[Raiden]

Ahhhh 2002. I remember the Spider-Man vs. Star Wars vs. LOTR debates. It was more of Spider-Man vs. Star Wars because I think they were both coming out in the same month. Fans argued for months on forums about which movie would be better. More critical acclaim & bigger box office.
Good times.....good times.

And years later both Star Wars and Spider-Man are under the same umbrella (well, partially for Spidey).

 

[kedrell]

No he's referring to Spider-Man vs. Attack of the Clones.

Johnboy3434 is correct. I was referring to the cartoon movie which flopped, a first for ANYTHING Star Wars related at the movies. Thus proving that audiences WOULDN'T just accept everything and anything with Star Wars's name slapped on it.

 

[johnboy3434]

Johnboy3434 is correct. I was referring to the cartoon movie which flopped, a first for ANYTHING Star Wars related at the movies. Thus proving that audiences WOULDN'T just accept everything and anything with Star Wars's name slapped on it.

Except it didn't flop. In fact, it made a healthy profit... because it was so incredibly cheap. It had a production budget of $8.5 million and made $68 million. Even after P&A, it probably made a triple-digit return on investment.

 

[ernesth100]

**** it's slowing down. I hope it can drag it'self atleast to 900 mill.

 

[First Avenger]

And years later both Star Wars and Spider-Man are under the same umbrella (well, partially for Spidey).

With Spidey actually referencing star wars.

 

[Stark Bauer]

**** it's slowing down. I hope it can drag it'self atleast to 900 mill.

It will make a billion. You can take that to the bank

 

[LucDisfilm19]

Alright, everyone. It's the start of the 3-day weekend. Let's move our butts to the movies as long as we can throughout the weekend to get Civil War to make $80-90M this weekend. We can't let this movie's chances of hitting $500M domestically slip out of our fingers.

 

[ctsketch]

**** it's slowing down. I hope it can drag it'self atleast to 900 mill.

It'll be 900 by next week

 

[DJ_KiDDvIcIOUs]

**** it's slowing down. I hope it can drag it'self atleast to 900 mill.

Haha bruh, it has yet to even hit it's second weekend. Relax man.

 

[kedrell]

It'll be 900 by next week

It's guaranteed to pass that this weekend.

 

[kedrell]

Except it didn't flop. In fact, it made a healthy profit... because it was so incredibly cheap. It had a production budget of $8.5 million and made $68 million. Even after P&A, it probably made a triple-digit return on investment.

Ah, well there was no budget info on BOM so I assumed ANY animated movie that made as little as that one made($68m WW) probably wasn't profitable. I guess I was wrong. It still shows that audiences will turn their noses up at something Star Wars-related on occasion(at the theaters) and that they are not in fact absolutely bulletproof in regards to failure(the prequels may suck but people still went in droves to see them).

 

[Iceman]

All about the weekend. Surely a load of people wanting to rewatch it.

 

[Chesterfield]

Yeah this is a very important and pivotal weekend we're approaching. Audiences need to come out in full force. Let's get that money!

 

[shinlyle]

Debating on seeing it again on Sunday. I bought a ticket last week for a buddy who had to bail, so he said he'd return the favor and buy me a ticket to see it.
If I'm free Sunday...!

 

[marcvader]

**** it's slowing down. I hope it can drag it'self atleast to 900 mill.

Not sure if you're serious.