The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[jse]

A reliable poster from the boxoffice.com forums says TA's friday likely to be 16-18M. I was predicting 14.9M Friday and 55.7M Wkend. So it looks like it may do a minimum of 60M.

 

[Xeno]

A reliable poster from the boxoffice.com forums says TA's friday likely to be 16-18M. I was predicting 14.9M Friday and 55.7M Wkend. So it looks like it may do a minimum of 60M.

Welcome to the Hype, jse! A weekend take of $60 million would be brilliant. We should be getting a lot of "The Avengers sunk my Battleship!" headlines on Sunday.

 

[jse]

Welcome to the Hype, jse! A weekend take of $60 million would be brilliant. We should be getting a lot of "The Avengers sunk my Battleship!" headlines on Sunday.

thanks xeno! Long-time lurker, and as you can see by my post count i don't post all that much lol. Definitely crossing my fingers for 60M+.

Speaking of sinking battleships.. Reminds me of this simpsons clip:

 

[Superhero 101]

anyone know how much will Avengers make overseas this weekend

 

[AndrewGilkison]

I am not surprised by this result. Battleship looked like crap, and honestly - who would you rather see fight aliens in a movie? Superheroes with interesting personalities, or a bunch of bland and boring navy officers? Easy choice to me.

 

[jse]

Man i just feel bad for kitsch. Dude can't get a break. First Wolvie, then Carter, now Battleship. Dang.

 

[Raiden]

Welcome to the Hype, jse! A weekend take of $60 million would be brilliant. We should be getting a lot of "The Avengers sunk my Battleship!" headlines on Sunday.

If TA makes $60 mil this weekend, then it means it would only drop 40% or so from last week, and that is a remarkable achievement.

 

[TheVileOne]

And $600 million.

 

[jse]

It's friday and Nikki's low-balling again. And her math is off. Again. In other news, the earth is round.

 

[jse]

If TA makes $60 mil this weekend, then it means it would only drop 40% or so from last week, and that is a remarkable achievement.

Yup. Although it makes you wonder... Has TA spoiled audiences such that they don't even give two ****s about these other movies coming out now or are the new openers just that bad? Could be a combination of both. MIIIB is up next. With it being Memorial Day long-weekend TA is looking at another sub-50% drop, prob ~42%. That's probably it for it's run at #1 though .

 

[jse]

And $600 million.

Yup. TA could be at 600M around TASM's first Friday +/- a week lol.

 

[Raiden]

Yup. Although it makes you wonder... Has TA spoiled audiences such that they don't even give two ****s about these other movies coming out now or are the new openers just that bad? Could be a combination of both. MIIIB is up next. With it being Memorial Day long-weekend TA is looking at another sub-50% drop, prob ~42%. That's probably it for it's run at #1 though .

Yeah, there's no way that TA can beat MIB3 for #1 spot next week, unless MIB3 massively tanked (which won't happen). But TA will probably finish #2, and in the long run I think it will have better legs than MIB3.

 

[Jordanstine]

A reliable poster from the boxoffice.com forums says TA's friday likely to be 16-18M. I was predicting 14.9M Friday and 55.7M Wkend. So it looks like it may do a minimum of 60M.

Yeah I saw that too.

If it did a Friday $16M you're looking at:
- Saturday $25.2M
- Sunday $18.7M
Weekend of $59.9M

If it did a Friday $17M you're looking at:
- Saturday $26.7M
- Sunday $19.5M
Weekend of $63.2M

If it did a Friday $18M you're looking at:
- Saturday $28.1M
- Sunday $21.0M
Weekend of $67.1M (just slightly short of Avatar's record around $68M)

But RTH's prediction of $16M-18M, means it's likely around the higher 16, lower 17 end of the range.

My guess is approx $64M weekend.

 

[chiefchirpa]

C'mon guys have another round at the theater. Repeat viewing time.

 

[The Morningstar]

I've already seen it 3 times. Gonna wait for the Blu-Ray now.

Next stop: Prometheus! BOSH!

 

[thalidomide]

I've seen it 4 times already, and my gf is seeing it now with her niece and nephews as we speak so that's her 5th time seeing the movie -_-

 

[Alexei Belyakov]

Star Wars made $461 Million Domestic back in '77. Can anyone adjust that number for inflation so we could see how much it would have been today? With an $11 ticket template for present day ticket prices, I'd say at least a billion.

 

[Avenger]

Star Wars' total domestic box office adjusted for inflation is $1,410,707,200 (per Box Office Mojo). When adjusting for inflation, the highest grossing movie is actually Gone with the Wind, with a domestic total of $1,600,193,400.

 

[The Morningstar]

Over 1 billion, just US. Incredible.

 

[redp]

My predictions for The Avengers is at $61.8 million. (read more at:http://box-office-film-news.blogspot.com/2012/05/avengers-third-weekend-predictions.html ) Although it can certainly gross more than that, the probability of Avengers garnering more than $70 million in its third-weekend frame is quite low. The maximum I can see it making is $66 million. However, it is a foregone conclusion that it will be the highest-third weekend gross for a superhero title.

 

[KangConquers]

I'm curious if this thing has a chance of hitting $1.2 B ww by Monday. That would be a staggering feat.

 

[yads]

$70m weekend isn't just unlikely - it's impossible. Anything over $60m would be fantastic.

Also, comparing TA to Star Wars - or any other pre-home video movie - is silly. Star Wars, GWTW etc have all been re-released countless times.

 

[Liam_H]

It made $93 million over the overseas weekend last week so depending on how much that decreases by.

 

[KangConquers]

I can't wait for it to smash TDK domestically, and Potter worldwide to come in #3 of all time in both Dom and WW totals. t:

 

[yads]

Next weekend's gonna be really interesting. MIB3 is gonna be the first real hit since TA - but the TA 4-day should still be great. Best case scenario it's at $520m after next Monday, then should pass TDK by around Friday.