The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[Quasimod0]

Yeah seriously I just saw it again and the theatre was huge and completely full!

 

[warcam]

Saw it for the 2nd time this morning. I was surprised at how packed the 11am show was. Not a sell-out, but damn close.

 

[The Ironstar]

Not trying to rub it in but the fact that I saw all the actors at NYCC, the Black Widow/Banner scene in October and the final film almost a month before release...and it's having so much success makes this one of the most surreal cinema experiences ever.

Never ever going to forget these last couple of years starting from 2008. An era is ending but a new one is unfolding. Got emotional towards the end of the film during my 3rd viewing with my family.

It is just...damn.

Don't feel sad,soon it will be on tv along w/Cap,Thor,IM2 as a marathon t:

 

[The Ironstar]

Imagine, Joss Whedon, the guy who couldn't keep a show on tv, may wind up being responsible for the highest grossing non-James Cameron film ever.

Take that Canadians

 

[Spideyfan93]

Joss Whedon is going to be one of the big names of this decade and hopefully beyond. This film solidified his greatness, imagination, and creativity.

 

[Gamma Burst]

Yeah seriously I just saw it again and the theatre was huge and completely full!

My cousin, here in Brasil, went to see it yesterday and had to wait for two sessions, because they were sold out.t:

 

[Pink Ranger]

Take that Canadians

The USA made Brett Ratner. Accordingly, Canada is still ahead by like infinity.

 

[eddy]

I was just looking at the numbers for the MCU films and just realized Avengers made more in its 2nd weekend than Ironman made in its first weekend. So many people doubted this movie.

 

[Quasimod0]

Lol I heard so many saw it'd do slightly more than IM numbers. t:

 

[warcam]

Lol I heard so many saw it'd do slightly more than IM numbers. t:

*raises hand* I...might have been one of those individuals. Now excuse me...I need some hot sauce for these crow wings. t:

 

[The Ironstar]

I'd love for JW to get nominated at least for Best Director come Oscar time but knowing the academy I wouldn't hold my breath.

I just want the acknowledgment from the academy for Joss and the movie (Best Director/Picture).

 

[Joeyjojo72]

Although its not gonna happen, Id love to see Whedon get a best screenplay nod. The script was the most important element in my mind (plenty of others of course).

Downside is Zach Penn might have to share the stage. Eff that crap.

Technical awards aplenty methinks. Now that will be a crowded stage as pretty much every fx house on earth worked on the avengers apparently.

 

[Tony Stark]

Well, I wouldn't gloat just yet. Who knows the numbers TASM and TDKR might bring in. Perhaps, with inflation, 3D/IMAX premium prices, perhaps what we see at the moment as incredible, just might the beginning of a trend in BO. Just last year, we had 3 billionaire movies, something that was supposed to be exclusive. Perhaps the club is not that exclusive anymore.

I don't have a crystal ball infront of me, but the chances are slim of that happening. TASM, if it does $250M, I'll be satisfied. I really have seen nothing all that compelling about it, compared to the marketing for the Raimi films. In fact, I think this film is trying too hard to be the anti-Raimi, and that might alienate the fanbase.

TDKR will make money by the boatload, no doubt, but it simply does not have the draw that TDK did. TDK made money from a huge audience boost from the first film, and you're not going to have that kind of boost for this film. In fact I'm not sure if TDKR will be able to sell as many tickets as TDK, for the simple reason that it's hard to keep an audience together like that.

Same argument could be made for Avengers. It will be hard if not impossible for it to top what it just did.

 

[Gamma Burst]

I don't have a crystal ball infront of me, but the chances are slim of that happening. TASM, if it does $250M, I'll be satisfied. I really have seen nothing all that compelling about it, compared to the marketing for the Raimi films. In fact, I think this film is trying too hard to be the anti-Raimi, and that might alienate the fanbase.

TDKR will make money by the boatload, no doubt, but it simply does not have the draw that TDK did. TDK made money from a huge audience boost from the first film, and you're not going to have that kind of boost for this film. In fact I'm not sure if TDKR will be able to sell as many tickets as TDK, for the simple reason that it's hard to keep an audience together like that.

Same argument could be made for Avengers. It will be hard if not impossible for it to top what it just did.

ASM has no chance.
tdkr, I don't see it happening either. Even tdk wasn't exactly huge overseas, for example.

 

[Spider-Vader]

I think ASM will do 300-310 million domestically, it's a friggin' Spider-Man movie! It's going to do really good, unless it turns out to be complete dog s***.

 

[Nemesis Prime]

Same argument could be made for Avengers. It will be hard if not impossible for it to top what it just did.

I think TA2 will outgross TA1 if the following happen:

- Joss Wheldon is back as writer and director (duh)
- All the upcoming sequels have a nice buildup of Thanos being TA's nemesis for 2nd movie (provided he IS the main villain
- Disney don't muck it up by trying to put their imprints on the movie
- Kevin Feige remains as head of the Marvel movie division

 

[KBX]

^ Downey Jr obviously needs to come back. I think he is the only one that isn't currently resigned yet.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Well made good on my promise to see it today(#4) Went on my own this fine sunday night crowd was great for most part, Buuuuuut a couple babies did start crying during some good parts :/ Hopefully I can catch this thing on I-max before it goes out!

 

["_____"]

cousin finally went and saw it over the weekend and said it was packed.....

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Whats the next movie that has a chance at doing decent at box-office Prometheus? But Prometheus looks like it's gonna be a hard R but I'ts only movie between ASM & TDKR I'm looking forward too.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Soon Avengers will be the biggest movie in Disney history (unadjusted).

and people said Disney was dumb to buy Marvel. lmao.

 

[buttercup]

ASM has no chance.
tdkr, I don't see it happening either. Even tdk wasn't exactly huge overseas, for example.

That's my prediction as well: ASM will do well but fall short of the achievement of not only TA but the Raimi original trilogy. I don't feel much heat for this movie in the general audience, and reboots (or even prequels with completely different casts) tend to do less well than the originals. I admit that I'm 50/50 on seeing it myself, and will decide based on reviews whether it's worth trekking to the theater for.

TDKR -- that I can see making ridiculous amounts of money domestically. The North American box office is on fire this year, and I can see it making $500M+ easily, maybe even grossing more than TDK. It's overseas that I don't see it dominating. Foreign audiences seem to like Hollywood spectacle: CGI, big glossy effects, fantasy and 3D, or in other words, all the expensive things that they can't get in their own native movies. TDKR looks gloomy and dreary compared to the ZIP POW AWESOME popcorn appeal of TA.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

TASM will be the highest grossing SM movie thanks to oversea numbers.

275 m domestic
650 m overseas

925 m worldwide

 

[Sentinel X]

Holy hell...this movie is doing beast at the box office

103 million on a second weekend? That is insane. Thats an extremely great opening weekend, let alone second weekend. I don't know which is more impressive...that...or the 200 million opening.

 

[Liam_H]

Whats the next movie that has a chance at doing decent at box-office Prometheus? But Prometheus looks like it's gonna be a hard R but I'ts only movie between ASM & TDKR I'm looking forward too.

Aside from Battleship and MIB3, I think SW&H is getting pretty decent buzz. The trailers and stuff have been received favorably.

Holy hell...this movie is doing beast at the box office

103 million on a second weekend? That is insane. Thats an extremely great opening weekend, let alone second weekend. I don't know which is more impressive...that...or the 200 million opening.

The holdover to $103 million is more impressive to me. Declining only 50% from such a huge weekend is hard to do. But overall how it got to the $207 million opening is a greater feat because it showed this wasn't fan driven (like Twilight/Potter) because it had great Fri-Sun numbers with so little in decline.