The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 6

Discussion in 'Marvel's The Avengers' started by Thread Manager, May 29, 2012.

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  1. Pond Registered

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    TDKR will do well at the BO, but to do GREAT, i mean, TDK great... It must be liked by the audience. I mean REALLY liked. Thats made by the same people and continues the story of TDK makes it reasoinable to entertain the notion that it should do similar, but in the end the reason Avengers is an unexpected jugernaut is beacuse people LOVE it. As nobody has seen Batman yet, that WOW factor that propulses from good or great to jugernaut in the box office is, as for now, a big question mark.
     
  2. Raiden Wakanda Forever

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    I think TDKR will become a blockbuster, but I don't think it will beat either The Avengers nor TDK. Yes, it's the last Nolan Batman movie and that should generate alot of interest, but I think the lack of Joker as well as a more somber and darker movie will not have the widespread appeal that plays well across the demographics, which is something that separates a mere blockbuster from a true phenomenon. Joker was the character that had this kind of mass appeal which was the key for TDK's amazing success, and I don't see either Bane or Catwoman replicating that in the sequel.

    Btw, here's the Tuesday figures:

    1. MIB 3 - $5.6M ($75M) 2. THE AVENGERS - $3.2M ($527M)

    I think it is extremely impressive for The Avengers to only gross 2 million less than MIB3, don't you think?
     
  3. Jordanstine Registered

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    It should be close to $532 million by Thursday (just $1.3 million short of TDK).

    But it's looking at a $21 million weekend and should surpass the $550 million mark in another record speed by Sunday!
     
  4. Joined:
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    Yay can't wait for this weekend for Avengers to surpass HP8
     
  5. Iceman Daffy Duck Vs The Joker

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    Been on hols so missed the recent numbers. Yeah, $550m record is going down this weekend!! Might have to wait a bit for $600m but it's not far away any more.
     
  6. warhorse78 Registered

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    Same here. I've been anticipating this one for some time. Loved the Bourne movies, and love Jeremy Renner. I think this movie is going to rock!
     
  7. Spider-Fan SHHFFL 2014/2019 Champion

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    Some of us don't want to know things like this so let's keep those spoilers in the Batman area :o
     
  8. Mrs. Sawyer Registered

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    Yeah, I was going to say the same thing but I didn't know if those were necessarily spoilers.
     
  9. Stark Bauer Wants 2b cast as Darkhawk

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    I agree with everything you said except this. Expendables will probably make more than MIB3 and open bigger too...but if the story is bad, i may be wrong. This just seems like everything the first movie was supposed to be but was not because they couldnt get Van Damme in the 1st one.

    TDKR - i think there is a slight chance it could one up TDK - IF ITS STORY IS COMPELLING enough. If the pacing is right and it has high replay or rewatch value, it can generate WOM. I would be hesitant to judge the movie before screenings and critics reviews come pouring in. If the tomatometer is at 99% and steady, then that would be a sign that something is special. We shall see. What i am trying to say is TDKR will not open to more than 200 million, but it may have long legs if the story is as engrossing if not more so than TDK.

    The Bane is not so popular argument is played to death, but if Bane is portrayed by Hardy the way Ledger embodied Joker, this role can achieve cult-status and become iconic because of this film. Nolan is certainly capable of pulling it off.

    On topic - TA made $3,266,753 yesterday Tuesday. for a grand total of $527,173,955 it maintains its place at #4 on the all time DOM BO nipping at the heels of Bruce Wayne.
     
    #59 Stark Bauer, May 31, 2012
    Last edited: May 31, 2012
  10. The Ironstar Registered

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    Y,we don't really know how well TDKR will do,but to quote Chris Berman ("That's why we play the game.")

    Also I just realized the Summer Olympics will start from July 27 to August 12.
     
  11. LauraT Registered

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    That means it should pass TDK before the weekend. If it gets $20 mill + the way it should next weekenmd that sets it up for the next hurdle of $600 mill. :wow: :woot:
     
  12. 04nbod I need to debrief you

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    Not sure if it will help much now but the UK has a 4 day weekend this weekend to celebrate the Queen's Diamond Jubilee. Movies for all the family on wide release basically consist of MIB and Avengers. Prometheus is the big new release.
     
  13. spider-neil spins a web any size!

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    I think prometheus will crush the competition this weekend.
     
  14. spider-neil spins a web any size!

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    Tickets for Amazing Spider-man are now on sale for the UK BFI IMAX (largest in the UK) and the demand is crashing the BFI servers. So much for there being no interest in the new Spidey movie.
     
  15. MessiahDecoy123 Psychological Anarchist

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    So it begins.

    lmao!
     
  16. AVEITWITHJAMON Darksider

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    I cant speak for Buffy, Angel or Dollhouse as I never really watched them, but as soon as I watched Firefly I was hooked, then through me watching it my whole family started too as well, I am talking, brothers, parents, aunties, the works. And then we all loved Serenity as well and all in my faimly who have seen TA have loved it as well. Whedon is just a talented guy, simple as, the sad fact is not much of his stuff makes it outside of cult fanbases but with the success of TA, you never know.

    If we got another series of Firefly or even more unlikely another Serenity movie out of all this, I would be ecstatic.
     
  17. 04nbod I need to debrief you

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    Its a 15 though. Both MIB and Avengers are 12A and parents have 4 days to kill while her Maj suffers a boat ride, a glass carriage ride, getting peered at by millions, and getting serenaded by artists chosen by Gary frackin' Barlow! I bet she would rather watch The Avengers this weekend :o
     
  18. Raiden Wakanda Forever

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    Since it is rated R, I think it would be hard for it to be crushing all competition, particularly against other PG-13 blockbusters. However, I'm pretty amped for Prometheus and I hope it does really well.
     
  19. Jordanstine Registered

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    Exactly.

    I had Prometheus originally pegged for $75 million OW and I'm thinking I may have over projected. I would be very surprised if Prometheus cracks higher than that. People now are projecting more on the $60 million after MIB3's weekend.
     
  20. Jordanstine Registered

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    TDKR can break the midnight record, and will most likely have the higher midnight numbers than TA.
     
  21. Mysteryman Registered

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    Impossible.
    It comes out next weekend .
     
  22. Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    Yeah, I think I said that at the time. I initially pegged TA to do 13-15 Midnight, because May midnight showings do not do well because the 18-25 crowd that populates those showings are still in school and have finals and such.

    When it did 18M, I knew it would break the weekend record.
     
  23. Tony Stark Armored Avenger!

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    Sorry, was trying to be as vague as I could. I didn't and won't elaborate.
     
  24. Jordanstine Registered

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    $2.5 estimate today.

    Bringning the total to $529.6M.
     
  25. Spider-Fan SHHFFL 2014/2019 Champion

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    That's fine and it doesn't really spoil anything for me, but I think this goes for everyone: I don't go to the Avengers forum to talk about TDKR (and all too often, every forum on this site somehow becomes the Batman forum, and it...is...ANNOYING!!!), nor do I go to a Box Office thread to discuss the quality of the movie. While your comment was about the story effecting the box office, this is where we start to toe the line of spoiling the movie itself. So, I ask everyone as a courtesy to me and others: please let's not talk about TDKR in here, unless it directly relates to the topic of its Box Office. I, as well as others, am excited to see the movie, and don't want my experience tainted because someone in a non-related forum told me what happens.
     
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