The Dark Knight Rises The TDKR Box Office Thread III

[Kane52630]

Eh, just last week we were saying it would hit just under the 200 mil mark, now we think it might take the OW record?

We'll see, but I'd be super surprised.

Well ever since the whole recent Rush Limbaugh thing a few days ago, I'm not surprised the prediction numbers went up. controversy = cash

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Well ever since the whole recent Rush Limbaugh thing a few days ago, I'm not surprised the prediction numbers went up. controversy = cash

I **** you not. I spotted a couple (Democrats, no doubt) earlier today with 'Bane' Capital shirts on. The picture of Bane and Mitt side-by-side made me

Political pundits/activists have done a great job by associating Mitt to a Batman supervillain on Election Year. And they said Nolan's film couldn't market itself to the general audience. Bane is already apart of pop-culture.

 

[Kane52630]

There's a photo floating around with Mitt wearing Bane's mask.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

There are sooooo many.

One of my favorites.

 

[TheGuy]

There are sooooo many.

One of my favorites.

lol

 

[redp]

I wouldn't have believed myself a month ago, but now The Dark Knight Rises may beat The Avengers; here is my look at it:
http://box-office-film-news.blogspot.com/2012/07/the-dark-knight-rises-weekend.html

Worldwide is the spot-light of next-week...

 

[danoyse]

Well ever since the whole recent Rush Limbaugh thing a few days ago, I'm not surprised the prediction numbers went up. controversy = cash

I don't think the Limbaugh thing influenced anything.

 

[Kane52630]

It's got both extreme sides talking which gives them curiosity to see this film. I'm not saying it's directly influenced but it's got folks who never cared about the film before talking about it.

 

[Tony Stark]

I wouldn't have believed myself a month ago, but now The Dark Knight Rises may beat The Avengers; here is my look at it:
http://box-office-film-news.blogspot.com/2012/07/the-dark-knight-rises-weekend.html

Worldwide is the spot-light of next-week...

I think you will know tomorrow night. If it breaks the single day record, it might be possible. However if it's in the 80's, that's not enough. It's going to have at least a 30% drop on Saturday due to the high midnight number.

Using TDK's muliplier if it breaks the record for opening day it would look like this:

92 - 64 -59 = 215

85 - 60 - 55 = 200

Now again that's assuming it has the same internal muliplier as TDK. If that midnight number is higher, chances are you'll see close to a 50% drop on Saturday.

If the midnight number doesn't at least come in the 30M range, this won't break the record. For beating Potter and 2D that's cat is in the bag.

 

[Crazy Quilt Man]

Limbaugh basically spent the good part of two days discussing the movie... The first day he simply re-stated what the Drudge report was running as the lead story (dems want to compare bain capital to bane the villain) then proceded to suggest that there was an agenda to the release date of the film ... IMO - He should have caught himself and read about the plot before becoming worried that there was some sort of conspiracy without checking the story...

Then because of what he said on day one, the press went went bananas on him for comparing bain to bane... And he proceded to spend day two correcting himself and explaining that he was probably wrong and the movie itself has no agenda and looks really good.

Anyhow my point is that his audience is believed to be around 20 million listeners daily, which is really really really great accidental last-minute publicity for TDKR ... The Limbaugh event among other things will be the reason this film sets the box office record this weekend... To the dismay of many "professional" critics who (in the past week) have literally proven they can't tell their elbow from their a**hole.

 

[redhawk23]

Box office mojo is projecting 214 million mostly based off the average percentage jump of threequels in other popular series.

I'd be very surprised if this film even hits 200 million which would be an insane accomplishment (I'm still amazed by the Avengers doing it).


http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3491&p=.htm


edit: I see now that this has been posted.


Also, note, this film is expected to get 30 million at least from midnight showings, where as avengers had 18 million.

Thats a significant boost and might have a bearing on the 200 million dollar question.

 

[Street Vendor]

I would be very surprised if this breaks the record, but we'll see.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I don't see TDKR breaking the record either. No 3D, no opening weekend record.

 

[Figs]

Starting to sell out more theaters in my area for midnight shows. The Imax midnight and 3:30 showings are sold out and so far 5 of the 19 midnight showings on regular screens are sold out as well.

 

[Reek]

Don't under estimate Teh Goddamn Batman

 

[redp]

I think you will know tomorrow night. If it breaks the single day record, it might be possible. However if it's in the 80's, that's not enough. It's going to have at least a 30% drop on Saturday due to the high midnight number.

Using TDK's muliplier if it breaks the record for opening day it would look like this:

92 - 64 -59 = 215

85 - 60 - 55 = 200

Now again that's assuming it has the same internal muliplier as TDK. If that midnight number is higher, chances are you'll see close to a 50% drop on Saturday.

If the midnight number doesn't at least come in the 30M range, this won't break the record. For beating Potter and 2D that's cat is in the bag.

Yeah I know, anything above $200M for an opening weekend is per se amazing and insane!

 

[db85usa]

Don't under estimate Teh Goddamn Batman

post of the year.

 

[db85usa]

This movie is going to earn a huge chunk of change for its opening. My theater is jam packed for the Marathon!

 

[Kane52630]

Almost all the IMAX showings are soldout for the weekend here, the only ones that are still available are the 2:05am, 5:30am, and 9:00AM showtimes.

 

[Milkman95]

Pretty much all the IMAX showings are sold out as well at my theater, even the 3:15am shows!

 

[redhawk23]

I don't understand 5:00 am shows, I guess they would still have the hardcore fan factor going for it similar to the midnight shows but really at that point is the wait until noon that bad?

 

[regwec]

TDKR will break the record, because Batman has had prep time.

 

[JayJustROTFL]

Where I am in England (a location near London) its sold out.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

TDKR will break the record, because Batman has had prep time.

 

[joker1524]

Tdkr wont break the record because bane no sexay!