The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[KangConquers]

600 M seems a little much imo. I could see it crawling past $550 though.

 

[Nokio]

It's about halfway there now. A 17.5M tuesday puts it at 244M DOM. It'll be nearly 75% of the way there after next weekend. $500M was pretty much a certainty by last Sunday. $600M is the one it may just crawl to.

I'm holding out hope that TA will make a 100 mil its second weekend. Keeping fingers crossed.

 

[KangConquers]

I'm holding out hope that TA will make a 100 mil its second weekend. Keeping fingers crossed.

It's kind of amazing that this film has managed to become a legitimate box office smash before any competition ever came out; people have talked about how MIB3 might hurt Avengers, but by the time that film is out, Avengers will already be in the top 10, maybe top 5 of all time.

 

[Raiden]

600 M seems a little much imo. I could see it crawling past $550 though.

Although I said TA may crawl to 500M, I think it really depends on its legs and this weekend's gross will give us a better picture on what kind of box office it will generate in the end. If TA can make 100 mil or more in its second weekend, I think 500 mil is not just possible, but 600 mil is within reach.

 

[The Caped Knight]

I love the tv spot they used

http://youtu.be/lVx3xisNqHs

 

[Jordanstine]

Anyone know who, what is "RTH" that gives out almost precise box office predictions?

Roy Thomas Hall? Real True Hollywood? Anything?

 

[Jordanstine]

Anyone know who, what is "RTH" that gives out almost precise box office predictions?

Roy Thomas Hall? Real True Hollywood? Anything?

 

[AvengeME]

Although I said TA may crawl to 500M, I think it really depends on its legs and this weekend's gross will give us a better picture on what kind of box office it will generate in the end. If TA can make 100 mil or more in its second weekend, I think 500 mil is not just possible, but 600 mil is within reach.

500 million is a lock. You are probably looking at 580-620. 650-700 is not completely out of the question if the rest of the movies this month stagnate.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

700mil has a very slim chance of happening because multipliers like that are rare for such big openers but I wouldn't rule at 600mil.

 

[Gamma Burst]

500 million is a lock. You are probably looking at 580-620. 650-700 is not completely out of the question if the rest of the movies this month stagnate.

True. Even with a mediocre multiplier of 2.5x, it surpasses 500M.

 

[BigThor]

Who cares if The Avengers makes 600M or 700M domestically, either one would be mind blowing.

 

[Tony Stark]

Yeah I would be shocked to see 700M, but I think 600 is very doable, considering other than Prometheus there is literally nothing worth watching between now and when TASM and Brave open.

Snow White could be good. I'm torn on that one. It may totally suck.

 

[Jordanstine]

Yeah I would be shocked to see 700M, but I think 600 is very doable, considering other than Prometheus there is literally nothing worth watching between now and when TASM and Brave open.

Snow White could be good. I'm torn on that one. It may totally suck.

Chris Hemsworth in back-to-back-to-back with "Cabin in the Woods", "The Avengers", and "Snow White & The Hunstaman".

This is a good year for Odinson.

But try and see The Avengers again before Snow White.

 

[fixxxer1022]

im wondering if ticket sales will start dropping this week/weekend? anyways, it's made more than enough to warrant a sequel.

 

[Iceman]

Personally TA shows even more the flaws in the X-Men movies. They're both team films but one seems balanced with regards to it's characters and the other is tremendously lopsided. And don't even get me started on the FF films.

You mean Wolverine and the Xmen, where the team leader known as Cyke disappears for most of the movie. It was entertaining, better then X1. Singer had zero balance of the characters. It's supposed to be a team movie and it wasn't. I'm 50/50. It was a good movie but not a good Xmen movie. James Marsden probably shot his scenes in a day or two and his lines was on one sheet. I just don't have the love for Singer that so many. it's my opinion. I just don't see these great films. He made entertaining Xfilms that didn't suck. People complain about the F4 films and rightly so but at least Story developed all the characters enough where their lines and screen time was pretty even.

I like X2 (far more than the other X-films) but I agree Avengers has shown that you can give sufficient time to all the team members and the film does not suffer as a result. In fact it vastly improves because of it.

 

[Donut]

im wondering if ticket sales will start dropping this week/weekend? anyways, it's made more than enough to warrant a sequel.

It's the second week. This movie has already made back its budge & then some. It has the entire Summer to make more money & it will also no doubt be put back into the theaters & IMAX. After its initial run

 

[Iceman]

Yeah I would be shocked to see 700M, but I think 600 is very doable, considering other than Prometheus there is literally nothing worth watching between now and when TASM and Brave open.

Snow White could be good. I'm torn on that one. It may totally suck.

I'll be watching Snow White after that recent trailer. I've watched everything Pixar in the past but not convinced on Brave yet. Anything getting a view in the next couple of months has to justify not going to seeing Avengers even more times!

 

[OB12]

I like X2 (far more than the other X-films) but I agree Avengers has shown that you can give sufficient time to all the team members and the film does not suffer as a result. In fact it vastly improves because of it.

More than that, it allowed the characters to be who they truly are. The Avengers wasn't afraid to make the straight-laced hero the leader of the group, like X2 was with Cyclops. The characters in The Avengers stayed in their own swim lane and it was all the better for it.

 

[Jordanstine]

Most up to date analysis (courtesy of BoxOffice.com Baumer):

Mon: $18.9
Tues: $17.5 (-7%)
Wed: $14.5 (-17%)
Thurs: $ 13.2 (-.08%)

$271.7 million before the weekend.

Fri: $31.7 (+140%)
Sat: $44.4 (+43%)
Sun: $31.1 (-30%)

$107.2 million for the week.

Estimated US $378.9 million total in 10 days.

 

[BigThor]

Yeah I would be shocked to see 700M, but I think 600 is very doable, considering other than Prometheus there is literally nothing worth watching between now and when TASM and Brave open.

Snow White could be good. I'm torn on that one. It may totally suck.

Chris Hemsworth in back-to-back-to-back with "Cabin in the Woods", "The Avengers", and "Snow White & The Hunstaman".

This is a good year for Odinson.

But try and see The Avengers again before Snow White.

I'll definately be seeing Snow White, you know I gotta support my boy Chris H. and it also looks pretty good.

 

[Gamma Burst]

Most up to date analysis (courtesy of BoxOffice.com Baumer):

Mon: $18.9
Tues: $17.5 (-7%)
Wed: $14.5 (-17%)
Thurs: $ 13.2 (-.08%)

$271.7 million before the weekend.

Fri: $31.7 (+140%)
Sat: $44.4 (+43%)
Sun: $31.1 (-30%)

$107.2 million for the week.

Estimated US $378.9 million total in 10 days.

I like that.

 

[Raiden]

Who cares if The Avengers makes 600M or 700M domestically, either one would be mind blowing.

Well, Potter 8 had 169 mil OW, which was the old record holder so anything after that is gravy, but I love how The Avengers not just broke the record but destroyed it completely with 207 mil OW. So for me, the higher it is the better it is, and if it can make 700 mil domestic I'll be ecstatic & over-the-moon about it.

 

[BigThor]

Well, Potter 8 had 169 mil OW, which was the old record holder so anything after that is gravy, but I love how The Avengers not just broke the record but destroyed it completely with 207 mil OW. So for me, the higher it is the better it is, and if it can make 700 mil domestic I'll be ecstatic & over-the-moon about it.

Yeah but honestly I'm over the moon happy now, especially after people were saying it's gonna do "IM numbers".

 

[Iceman]

More than that, it allowed the characters to be who they truly are. The Avengers wasn't afraid to make the straight-laced hero the leader of the group, like X2 was with Cyclops. The characters in The Avengers stayed in their own swim lane and it was all the better for it.

With you on that as well. Changing/limiting the role of the established leader is a big disservice to the fans even if it makes the film better (which it didn't). Some things should just be kept the same as the source material even if it's difficult to do (which in this case I see no reason why it would be). Imagine Cyke giving out the orders to the team like Cap did in NYC.

Most up to date analysis (courtesy of BoxOffice.com Baumer):

Mon: $18.9
Tues: $17.5 (-7%)
Wed: $14.5 (-17%)
Thurs: $ 13.2 (-.08%)

$271.7 million before the weekend.

Fri: $31.7 (+140%)
Sat: $44.4 (+43%)
Sun: $31.1 (-30%)

$107.2 million for the week.

Estimated US $378.9 million total in 10 days.

Would be very happy with that!

 

[Raiden]

Yeah but honestly I'm over the moon happy now, especially after people were saying it's gonna do "IM numbers".

I'm sure the same people will turn around and insist that 1 billion is not a big deal anyway because there are other movies who have broke this barrier.