The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[Xeno]

Why 'The Avengers' Will Top $900 Million Next Weekend, Maybe Even $1 Billion

http://www.forbes.com/sites/markhug...00-million-next-weekend-maybe-even-1-billion/

You can start crying right now.

That article should be required reading for naysayers.

Updated figures show that The Avengers has amassed more than $700 million in just 13 days. The size of the film’s box office and huge weekday audience attendance means, even with hypothetical large percentage declines in attendance the rest of the week and the weekend, the film is on pace to sit at $900 million after close of business next Sunday. If business doesn’t suffer large declines and in fact remains steady, the film will end up somewhere between $950 and perhaps even a staggering $1 billion after 19 full days in release.

Think those numbers sound too high? Think again…

Sitting at $702 million worldwide this morning, The Avengers took in $18.9 million on Monday. If the rest of the week it only does about half that much per day, and it suffers around a 65% drop over the weekend, it will still amass roughly $100 million domestically through next Sunday. That means it only has to make maybe $98 million overseas from yesterday through next Sunday, a rather easy feat for the film to achieve, obviously. Which brings us to $900 million, assuming those larger declines. Assume LESS declines, and you see how the domestic numbers could leap by $50 million from now through Sunday, meaning the overseas numbers need only achieve another $50 million over seven days for the film to break the $1 billion barrier.

So prepare yourselves, folks, for some pretty shocking numbers next weekend. Even the lower end of $900 million should have jaws dropping, and if it does manage the magic $1 billion figure after just three weeks, we’ll all be wondering just how high it’s gonna go.

 

[Gamma Burst]

That article should be required reading for naysayers.

I had to post for the nolanite who keeps dissing this movie in every forum.
He's probably crying somewhere else.t:

 

[kay128]

and to think that in 1996, Marvel declared bankcruptcy ...

 

[ToastMaGoats]

It's strange how much I care about what this movie makes. Normally I couldnt care less aslong as the movies I like succeed and the movies I dislike fail so there is no sequel, (battleship). But with The Avengers I cant help but look up every day to see what its made, willing it on to make more.

It's like its my baby!

 

[Spider-Fan]

I had to post for the nolanite who keeps dissing this movie in every forum.
He's probably crying somewhere else.t:

This just earned you a warning. Do I need to come in every thread and tell everyone to cease the Batman baiting? Well, I am not. I am just warning/infracting everyone for it from here out. So those of you who just HAVE to bash the Nolanites, keep it up. Just remember it will cost you.

We punish the Batfans for the exact thing you're doing right now. So in this case, neither of you are the better man. Learn from this.

 

[danoyse]

I had to post for the nolanite who keeps dissing this movie in every forum.
He's probably crying somewhere else.t:

Please, let's refrain from the Avengers vs TDKR silliness, please.

 

[Quasimod0]

Spider-Fan, I dig the bold text. Very authoritative.

 

[Tony Stark]

and to think that in 1996, Marvel declared bankcruptcy ...

And the reason they did that crappy low budget Captain America, Punisher and Fantastic Four was because Marvel was selling their film rights for pennies on the dollar just to stay afloat.

 

[Spideyfan93]

Whatever happened to freedom of speech? Haha

Seriously though, it's a crazy ride overlooking Marvel, movie wise, from the early 90s to right now.

 

[Saitou Hajime]

Why didn't they just sell to Disney back then?

 

[kedrell]

Because for a long, long time being independant was a large part of Marvel culture. They were the indies, DC was the sell out(to Time Warner in the late 60's or early 70's).

 

[Marvel]

Please, let's refrain from the Avengers vs TDKR silliness, please.

When faced with that Nolanite silliness this week there's only one thing to do...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KXtj_SdJMzM

STRUT!

 

[Punisher Rising]

This movie's doing even better than anyone thought. It's definitely going to make well over a billion and be in the top five highest grossing movies. It may be a long shot but I think it has a chance at possibly topping Avatar.

 

[Spider-Fan]

When faced with that Nolanite silliness this week there's only one thing to do...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KXtj_SdJMzM

STRUT!

You didn't read my announcement did you? Cause, you just did the EXACT thing I said not to!!!!

 

[warhorse78]

Looking at the poll up there, I'm wondering why so many people voted for 800 million. It's gonna make that much in it's second week. What about this movie gave you the impression that it wouldn't reach 1B? It's like Transformers, but better in every single way.

Personally, I was jinxing myself. I'm one of those weird people that, in the back of my mind, I feel like the world does revolve around me. If I had said it would have made a billion, it probably would have struggled to reach 200 million in total. So, I was doing some sort of reverse psychology.

 

[Punisher Rising]

This may be a bold prediction but I'm predicting by the end of the Summer, The Avengers will become the highest-grossing movie of all-time and will top Avatar. It's bold, I know, but I just have a feeling it's going to happen.

 

[Liam_H]

This may be a bold prediction but I'm predicting by the end of the Summer, The Avengers will become the highest-grossing movie of all-time and will top Avatar. It's bold, I know, but I just have a feeling it's going to happen.

Any reason why or just a feeling? I certainly agree with Top 3 WW even reach a bit and go for #2 and pass Titanic. But to get $2 Billion overseas just seems too out there.

 

[Spideyfan93]

Confident for top 5, even the third spot...but not Titanic and especially not Avatar...nah.

 

[Gamma Burst]

Personally, I was jinxing myself. I'm one of those weird people that, in the back of my mind, I feel like the world does revolve around me. If I had said it would have made a billion, it probably would have struggled to reach 200 million in total. So, I was doing some sort of reverse psychology.

LOL. You're not alone on this.

 

[Punisher Rising]

Any reason why or just a feeling? I certainly agree with Top 3 WW even reach a little and go for #2 and pass Titanic. But to get $2 Billion overseas just seems too out there.

Admittedly it's more of a hunch than anything, but the movie is an absolute locomotive at the box office right now and shows no signs of stopping or slowing down. It'll probably be number one this coming weekend again and while it probably won't make the same amount as it did OW, it'll still be enormous. It hasn't opened in Japan yet either, where it'll probably make plenty as well and more to add to the worldwide gross. Take that into account with what it's making already and will continue to make, and the movie could have a fair shot at topping Avatar. It wouldn't surprise me.

Like I said, I know it's a long shot, but it wouldn't surprise me if it happened.

 

[Metropolis_Man]

I was thinking this movie would end up around $800-$850 mil in it's final box office. I don't think anyone expected such high numbers as it's getting though. If it crosses that $1 billion mark in 3 weeks time as that Forbes article mentioned, then who knows what the final total will be. Imagine the home video sales for this thing when its released as well. Marvel and Disney created a formula for combining these heroes together and it paid off in a big way. I am happy that this shows the comic book film trend in movies isn't dying off. As long as the movies are quality then the sky's the limit.

 

[Suzanne78]

Spider-Fan, I just read your mod warning in the voice of Samuel L. Jackson. Which makes it quadruple awesome!

I am astounded at the numbers this juggernaut's putting up. Already $700BIL WW? If you had told me that Joss Whedon was going to direct and write a movie that is on an almost certain track to rack up the magic $1 billion worldwide, I wouldn't have believed it, and I'm one of his biggest fans.

Has there been any announcements yet about whether he's signed on for the sequels? I thought he signed a multi-picture contract when he took the reins of TA.

 

[buttercup]

Has there been any announcements yet about whether he's signed on for the sequels? I thought he signed a multi-picture contract when he took the reins of TA.

Feige has said they want Joss back, and they have options on him for the sequels:

In a perfect world, would you bring Joss back for Avengers 2 or would you want to spread it out and bring more voices into it?
In a perfect world? It would be Joss for Avengers 2.

Have you discussed it at all?
No. I mean, we have, as I’m sure you have read… Marvel has very specific contracts and very specific options and things like that, and we have that with all of our actors and all of our filmmakers. But we’re not going to force anybody to do anything they don’t want to do, necessarily. So we’ve had very preliminary conversations on the scoring stage late at night, things like that, but the goal has always been [to] finish the movie. Make this movie. That’s where we are now. So we’ll have… I hope to have deeper discussions in the coming months.

I really hope he comes back. I can't imagine anyone else making an Avengers movie and having it turn out half so well. The problem is, when the question has been put to him, he's dodged the question.

I'm a huge fan of his, from back in the original Buffy days, so maybe I'm biased? Can anyone imagine else making the sequel and having it turn out well? Maybe Favreau? Or Edgar Wright? oh, or Bryan Singer?

 

[Tony Stark]

There was alot of speculation on the BOT forums that Avengers would make more in opening weekend than TASM entire run. I didn't think that possible, and I still think TASM could make 250-300, but looking at it now it's a real possibility. However the last time a Spider-man film opened over the 4th of July weekend it did pretty good. Now I know this is a reboot, but you could attach the "Spider-man" name to a film with 2 hamster wheels trying to attack each other and it would make money.

 

[Punisher Rising]

I think TASM will do good and be profitable in it's own right (and certainly make enough to warrant a sequel or two), but it won't do anywhere near as good as The Avengers.