The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 4

[Flemm]

I really hope he comes back. I can't imagine anyone else making an Avengers movie and having it turn out half so well. The problem is, when the question has been put to him, he's dodged the question.

I'm a huge fan of his, from back in the original Buffy days, so maybe I'm biased? Can anyone imagine else making the sequel and having it turn out well? Maybe Favreau? Or Edgar Wright? oh, or Bryan Singer?

Well, I think other people could theoretically do it, especially now that the concept has been established successfully. For fans, we all know about Joss' role and how important it was, but for most audience members, I'm not sure that his name will really be what people retain from this experience.

Anyway, I hope he comes back. I won't be panicking if he doesn't, though. Also, I guess he could do the script, even if he doesn't direct.

 

[Punisher Rising]

I definitely want Whedon back writing and directing both sequels. Hopefully he'll return for both duties.

 

[Nokio]

I would like TA to gross 100 mil in its second weekend, just so the industry analysts can fall off their chairs in two straight weeks.

I want it to so the haters can heads can explode with anger, lol. I think it's wishful thinking though. I'm a little nervous about this weekend. I just don't want it to drop more then 60%, if for no other reason then we'll have to be subjected to the Nolan fans gloating.

 

[Liam_H]

Usually the higher a movie opens (when you get into the $130 million range or so) the greater its drop would be but so many factors are in TA favor that I can't see it dropping more than 50-55%.

 

[Gamma Burst]

Usually the higher a movie opens (when you get into the $130 million range or so) the greater its drop would be but so many factors are in TA favor that I can't see it dropping more than 50-55%.

Agreed. It won't have a big drop.

 

[Nokio]

Feige has said they want Joss back, and they have options on him for the sequels:



I really hope he comes back. I can't imagine anyone else making an Avengers movie and having it turn out half so well. The problem is, when the question has been put to him, he's dodged the question.

I'm a huge fan of his, from back in the original Buffy days, so maybe I'm biased? Can anyone imagine else making the sequel and having it turn out well? Maybe Favreau? Or Edgar Wright? oh, or Bryan Singer?

Bryan Singer???? WTF!! You take that back right now!!!!!!!!!!! Bryan Singer needs to be kept away from any future comic movie. If Disney wants Avengers 2 to nose dive into mediocrity then hire Singer. I never got the love for this man. He made a decent Xmen film that just didn't suck more then it was good. X2 was better and quite entertaining but it wasn't a faithful Xmen movie.

Superman Returns was a beautifully shot movie and that's it. I remember when the fans were giddy about Singer on SR and I had extremely high doubts but i kept my opinions to myself until i read that quote from Singer where he said he was making his first chick flick with SR and how it'll appeal to women and some other non sense that I didn't even bother to read the rest of the article. I knew then what we were gonna get and said it and warned everyone that he his gonna screw it up and he did. How do you get a 200 plus million budget and have an actionless Superman movie that was basically 2 hours of Supes just lifting stuff.

I don't share the love for Singer that some here do. He is one of the last directors on Earth that I would want near an Avengers sequel. I don't want Singer even bringing the water to the thirsty crew. I would take Michael Bay over him 100 fold. This coming from someone who is a fan of Bay, well from an action standpoint his films work but I don't want him on an Avengers sequel either unless he has no hand what so ever in scripting duties or a say in the script. Just shoot the movie and action sequences. Singer on the Avengers would send me to the hospital if I ever read that Headline. "Superman Returns Director Bryan Singer to take over for Avengers 2" Oh Lord my heart dropped just typing that.

 

[JeetKuneDo]

And the reason they did that crappy low budget Captain America, Punisher and Fantastic Four was because Marvel was selling their film rights for pennies on the dollar just to stay afloat.

I didn't know that. Good info.

I think TASM will do good and be profitable in it's own right (and certainly make enough to warrant a sequel or two), but it won't do anywhere near as good as The Avengers.

Might see something similar to what happened to Batman after a poorly-received movie (Batman and Robin). Batman Begins was really good but still "only" made $200 million. So after Spider-Man 3 I gotta wonder how much ASM will make. I would assume more than what BB did, but you never know.

I don't share the love for Singer that some here do. He is one of the last directors on Earth that I would want near an Avengers sequel. I don't want Singer even bringing the water to the thirsty crew. I would take Michael Bay over him 100 fold. This coming from someone who is a fan of Bay, well from an action standpoint his films work but I don't want him on an Avengers sequel either unless he has no hand what so ever in scripting duties or a say in the script. Just shoot the movie and action sequences.

Wow! That bolded part is especially...bold.

 

[Punisher Rising]

A little past $200 million seems like a good estimate for TASM, maybe a tad more. It'll be profitable for sure, but nowhere near Avengers' larger-than-life numbers.

 

[TheVileOne]

I got to be honest, I'm just not jazzed about Amazing Spider-Man at all.

I mean it could end up being great. But I'm just concerned by the lack of Norman Osborn (Oscorp is in it but where's Osborn). And I mean . . . I think Raimi's films sort of hit all those heights and moments and I wanted for Spider-Man. I'm just not jazzed about seeing the secret origin re-told and all that. I never cared for all the stuff about Peter's parents being either scientists or secret agents either. I like that Peter was adopted and raised by his extended family as their son. To me that's more emotional and touching.

 

[Liam_H]

^You are certainly not alone in that regards.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I remember many were bashing Avatar's silly premise before the release.

Based on the internet hate you'd think it was going to bomb.

I think the ASM hate is overblown and the movie will perform fine.

But I think it's ironic that most people nitpicking ASM were willing to pay full price to see SM3.

 

[TheVileOne]

I don't know much about it at all actually Messiah. I mean it's Spider-Man so I imagine it should do some pretty big business. Just me personally since it's being rebooted so quickly from scratch, just not so jazzed about it. Despite the flaws of Spider-Man 3, I was pretty attached to that cast and crew.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm going to predict ASM is a better Spider-man film and far less embarrassing experience than Spider-man 3.

It was probably like watching your favorite hero lampooned in front of a global audience.

Why pay 7 bucks for that?

 

[TheVileOne]

Cause Spidey doesn't look like a basketball in it?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm not thrilled about the felt cape in Batman Begins but that doesn't mean I'll ignore that film and watch Batman Forever instead.

 

[TheVileOne]

Meh, I still think Spider-Man 3 is OK and better than Batman: Forever. Sam Raimi simply shouldn't have been forced to use Venom and the black costume story. Spider-Man 2 is also a fantastic movie and IMHO pretty far and away anything above the old Batman movie franchise.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Cause Spidey doesn't look like a basketball in it?

Instead he should look like SM3

and he should dance too! Yay!

 

[TheVileOne]

LOL, at least Tobey Maguire doesn't have a giraffe neck!

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Meh, I still think Spider-Man 3 is OK and better than Batman: Forever. Sam Raimi simply shouldn't have been forced to use Venom and the black costume story. Spider-Man 2 is also a fantastic movie and IMHO pretty far and away anything above the old Batman movie franchise.

I wouldn't put SM3 above Batman Forever. They both suck.

Why are we talking about SM2?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

LOL, at least Tobey Maguire doesn't have a giraffe neck!

You think having a long neck is worse than the above picture?

If my child had a long neck I'd love him unconditionally. If he wore his hair like Tobey in SM3 I'd suffocate him in his sleep with a piss stained pillow.

 

[buttercup]

I got to be honest, I'm just not jazzed about Amazing Spider-Man at all.

You are definitely not alone. The trailers have progressively looked better, but I can't help but think the story is just played out. Peter back in high school, falling for the hot girl who's kinda unattainable, etc. It feels tired and I really didn't like Marc Webb's previous movie; it was an annoying too-clever romcom saved by Joseph Gordon-Levitt's charming performance. Take away JGL and you have something pretty terrible.

Dunno about box office but it feels like it doesn't have much buzz in the U.S. Could be wrong, but I see the movie under-performing, but still making something like $220M.

 

[hitmanyr2k]

Raimi did right by me with Spider-man 2 which is one of my favorite comic films of all-time but that's really it. He did good with the origin in Spider-man but dropped the ball in the 2nd half when the movie just became an uneven mess with lackluster action scenes. Spider-man 3 was average at best and after that movie I really didn't care to see anymore of Raimi's version of Spider-man. I was on the fence about the reboot being so soon but after seeing the ASM trailers I'm looking forward to it. I think it'll be refreshing to see another take on the character.

 

[Iceman]

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/openingweeks.htm

Avengers has enough for No.2 on all time opening weeks (after 4 days). Should have enough for No.1 by tomorrow.

The opening weekend was enough to take it to No.3 by itself.

 

[psylockolussus]

This movie should pass the $1 billion mark in 2 weeks !

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

This movie should pass the $1 billion mark in 2 weeks !

nope.

10 or 11 days.